PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Spectrum

0x0781872fe78deb6ad8147e482952b4a5461ec4ff

Realised P&L
$9.0k
Volume
$1.91M
Markets traded
6,224
Open portfolio
$31.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,224
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat? · Yes0.9390.990$396.06+$20.06
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? · No0.9340.980$393.94+$18.38
Will Vanderbilt Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? · No0.8610.973$389.20+$44.81
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8950.964$387.89+$27.34
Will Jalen Hurts have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.9540.962$386.92+$3.12
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? · No0.9690.964$385.80−$2.19
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9010.968$385.11+$26.50
Will Marshall Thundering Herd Win the 2026 Sun Belt Championship? · No0.9000.959$383.60+$23.60
Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? · No0.7700.946$378.40+$70.29
Will Sophie Okonedo be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8570.958$375.57+$39.61
Will Oklahoma Sooners Win the 2026 SEC Championship? · No0.9470.969$373.94+$8.22
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? · No0.9300.930$372.00+$0.00
Will Oregon Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? · No0.7120.915$366.00+$81.06
Will Mewgenics win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.8720.905$362.00+$13.04
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Cup? · No0.9200.895$358.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 09:17Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?BUY0.019$3.80
11-02 08:13Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?BUY0.08$9.84
11-02 06:48Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 21% or more?SELL0.145$0.72
11-02 06:28Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?BUY0.0449890421$10.10
11-02 06:22Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?BUY0.0419999987$1.10
11-02 05:56Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more?SELL0.089$2.40
11-02 05:53Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more?SELL0.089$3.03
11-02 05:35Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more?SELL0.088$3.43
11-02 05:34Will "Tutu" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1$12.40
11-02 04:37Will Lamar Jackson have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.95$47.50
11-02 03:05Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.096$2.40
11-02 02:57Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.06$24.00
11-02 02:48Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?BUY0.028$12.00
11-02 02:48Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.1081300855$13.09
11-02 02:35Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.05$1.75