Spectrum
0x0781872fe78deb6ad8147e482952b4a5461ec4ff
- Realised P&L
- $8.3k
- Volume
- $1.66M
- Markets traded
- 5,079
- Open portfolio
- $20.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,079
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$436.12at 0.617Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?
- +$388.00at 0.030Will Keegan Bradley win the 2025 Travelers Championship?
- +$375.49at 0.063Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
- +$368.00at 0.080Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$367.44at 0.082Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:42 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.939 | $52.58 |
| 08-03 06:37 | Will Mary Silva advance to the general election for WA-01? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.28 |
| 08-03 06:32 | Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.72 |
| 08-03 05:35 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.935 | $22.44 |
| 08-03 05:10 | Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.152 | $0.76 |
| 08-03 04:07 | Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.02 |
| 08-03 00:32 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.8769999998 | $352.00 |
| 08-02 23:37 | Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.86 |
| 08-02 22:06 | FC Red Bull Salzburg leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.5669662791 | $5.22 |
| 08-02 21:33 | Will Barbara Lee win the Oakland Mayor election? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.12 |
| 08-02 21:20 | Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 08-02 21:17 | Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 08-02 20:37 | FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.62 | $4.34 |
| 08-02 20:12 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.42 |
| 08-02 17:57 | Will Ben Shelton Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $32.30 |