PolyBot

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Traders

enrico-vasaio

0xcc792a28d90f3c5d8fe91e48a184913a65031c2a

Realised P&L
$23.2k
Volume
$2.88M
Markets traded
1,289
Open portfolio
$184.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,289
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8800.983$23.9k+$2.5k
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8660.969$16.5k+$1.7k
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9360.960$8.7k+$211.82
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9430.980$7.8k+$292.00
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.9570.967$6.9k+$69.49
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8900.955$6.4k+$435.53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9440.955$5.7k+$65.01
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.9430.955$5.7k+$70.00
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.9200.983$5.6k+$351.54
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.8130.974$5.0k+$830.40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8770.983$4.9k+$531.68
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9400.971$4.9k+$152.52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8440.825$4.1k−$94.83
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.9670.967$3.8k−$2.60
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No0.3920.735$3.7k+$1.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 11:29Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9824402332$67.40
10-30 11:26Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?BUY0.976$21.47
10-30 11:26Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?BUY0.974$87.38
10-30 11:17IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?BUY0.99$13.99
10-30 10:53AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.907$20.77
10-30 10:40Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?BUY0.96$308.83
10-28 17:10Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.936$611.97
10-28 17:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.953$228.72
10-28 17:05Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.19$12.35
10-28 17:05Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?BUY0.028$0.84
10-28 10:37Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?SELL0.008$0.12
10-28 09:52Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?BUY0.57$114.00
10-28 09:42Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?BUY0.011$4.40
10-28 09:42Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.42$88.46
10-28 09:41Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?BUY0.976$217.16