PolyBot

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Traders

enrico-vasaio

0xcc792a28d90f3c5d8fe91e48a184913a65031c2a

Realised P&L
$33.1k
Volume
$2.70M
Markets traded
1,189
Open portfolio
$188.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,189
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8800.945$23.0k+$1.6k
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8660.941$16.0k+$1.3k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9430.975$11.3k+$367.03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9420.918$8.7k$230.46
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9360.950$8.6k+$125.36
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.9180.939$8.6k+$187.49
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8900.925$6.2k+$234.53
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.9580.954$5.8k$29.29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8770.945$5.7k+$410.02
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · No0.9800.998$4.5k+$81.43
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.9670.955$4.2k$54.03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8440.835$4.2k$44.83
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9340.945$3.8k+$45.00
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9740.974$3.1k$0.12
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · No0.9240.939$3.0k+$46.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 08:45Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.77$3.85
09-15 10:06SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?SELL0.995$186.28
09-15 09:29Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.54$35.40
09-15 09:28Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?BUY0.24$91.20
09-14 09:14Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.43$261.44
09-14 09:13Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2992248062$193.00
09-14 09:12Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?BUY0.19$101.65
09-14 09:12Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.45$154.13
09-14 09:12Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.75$349.75
09-14 08:50OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.95$190.00
09-14 08:48Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.9294018702$1.4k
09-13 09:39OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.9698419426$3.7k
09-13 09:34Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.9183370878$1.8k
09-13 09:33Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.913$90.11
09-12 20:54Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.75$512.75