enrico-vasaio
0xcc792a28d90f3c5d8fe91e48a184913a65031c2a
- Realised P&L
- $33.1k
- Volume
- $2.70M
- Markets traded
- 1,189
- Open portfolio
- $188.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,189
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.535Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$3.1kat 0.643Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$2.8kat 0.604Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
- +$2.8kat 0.360Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
- +$2.4kat 0.840Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:45 | Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-15 10:06 | SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $186.28 |
| 09-15 09:29 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $35.40 |
| 09-15 09:28 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $91.20 |
| 09-14 09:14 | Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $261.44 |
| 09-14 09:13 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2992248062 | $193.00 |
| 09-14 09:12 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $101.65 |
| 09-14 09:12 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $154.13 |
| 09-14 09:12 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $349.75 |
| 09-14 08:50 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 09-14 08:48 | Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.9294018702 | $1.4k |
| 09-13 09:39 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9698419426 | $3.7k |
| 09-13 09:34 | Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.9183370878 | $1.8k |
| 09-13 09:33 | Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.913 | $90.11 |
| 09-12 20:54 | Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $512.75 |