enrico-vasaio
0xcc792a28d90f3c5d8fe91e48a184913a65031c2a
- Realised P&L
- $23.2k
- Volume
- $2.88M
- Markets traded
- 1,289
- Open portfolio
- $184.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,289
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.535Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$3.1kat 0.643Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$2.8kat 0.604Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
- +$2.8kat 0.360Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
- +$2.4kat 0.840Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 11:29 | Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9824402332 | $67.40 |
| 10-30 11:26 | Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $21.47 |
| 10-30 11:26 | Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $87.38 |
| 10-30 11:17 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $13.99 |
| 10-30 10:53 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.907 | $20.77 |
| 10-30 10:40 | Will STRC hit $100 by October 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $308.83 |
| 10-28 17:10 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.936 | $611.97 |
| 10-28 17:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.953 | $228.72 |
| 10-28 17:05 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $12.35 |
| 10-28 17:05 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.84 |
| 10-28 10:37 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.12 |
| 10-28 09:52 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $114.00 |
| 10-28 09:42 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $4.40 |
| 10-28 09:42 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $88.46 |
| 10-28 09:41 | Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? | BUY | 0.976 | $217.16 |