MKIsabella
0xe7a3cd81b59acfa06d21df09beb57b84b794e60a
- Realised P&L
- $-176.12
- Volume
- $432.7k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.477Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
- +$5.5kat 0.273Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.301Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?
- +$1.7kat 0.078Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.407Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 14:10 | Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.04 |
| 06-15 14:03 | Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June? | BUY | 0.0398579331 | $131.13 |
| 06-15 14:02 | Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? | BUY | 0.07 | $84.63 |
| 06-15 13:59 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.068999998 | $30.00 |
| 06-15 13:59 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.067980942 | $60.00 |
| 06-14 22:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.245 | $98.00 |
| 06-13 14:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 06-13 14:06 | Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June? | BUY | 0.05 | $44.80 |
| 06-13 14:06 | Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? | BUY | 0.1 | $24.10 |
| 06-12 20:11 | Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June? | BUY | 0.07 | $42.00 |
| 06-12 20:10 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? | BUY | 0.743 | $222.90 |
| 06-12 20:10 | Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? | BUY | 0.64 | $22.22 |
| 06-08 10:27 | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | SELL | 0.976 | $292.80 |
| 06-08 10:25 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $87.94 |
| 06-08 10:25 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.5796573781 | $762.00 |