PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MKIsabella

0xe7a3cd81b59acfa06d21df09beb57b84b794e60a

Realised P&L
$-176.12
Volume
$432.7k
Markets traded
240
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded240
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes0.5640.185$2.1k$4.4k
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.2770.085$1.6k$3.5k
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · Yes0.1320.054$598.49$847.20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.3740.235$587.53$348.86
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? · No0.4300.801$83.98+$38.93
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? · Yes0.0810.035$5.56$7.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.045$2.18$1.70
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$69.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? · No0.1940.000$0.00$69.08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June? · No0.0780.000$0.00$161.60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? · No0.1770.000$0.00$71.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00$9.10
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00$2.4k
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June? · No0.2320.000$0.00$178.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.2330.000$0.00$210.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 14:10Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?BUY0.012$3.04
06-15 14:03Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?BUY0.0398579331$131.13
06-15 14:02Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?BUY0.07$84.63
06-15 13:59US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.068999998$30.00
06-15 13:59US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.067980942$60.00
06-14 22:21US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.245$98.00
06-13 14:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.47$4.70
06-13 14:06Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?BUY0.05$44.80
06-13 14:06Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?BUY0.1$24.10
06-12 20:11Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?BUY0.07$42.00
06-12 20:10Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?BUY0.743$222.90
06-12 20:10Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?BUY0.64$22.22
06-08 10:27Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?SELL0.976$292.80
06-08 10:25Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?BUY0.53$87.94
06-08 10:25Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?BUY0.5796573781$762.00