GypSea1
0x3b01eb02b73826e28308e2bd951fff0101512026
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $337.1k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.318 | 0.085 | $2.0k | −$5.3k |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.635 | 0.185 | $1.4k | −$3.4k |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.004 | $5.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.661Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$1.6kat 0.702Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$1.5kat 0.739Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$877.80at 0.550Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$547.51at 0.931Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 22:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $29.30 |
| 06-17 22:34 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $30.53 |
| 06-17 15:13 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.98 |
| 06-17 15:13 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.40 |
| 06-17 10:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $40.98 |
| 06-17 10:24 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.1977865116 | $42.52 |
| 06-17 04:52 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $21.00 |
| 06-17 04:51 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 06-16 20:16 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.2122009249 | $72.96 |
| 06-16 15:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $43.26 |
| 06-16 15:45 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.1214209115 | $45.29 |
| 06-16 15:26 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.1436192872 | $68.51 |
| 06-16 15:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $43.00 |
| 06-16 15:24 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $45.00 |
| 06-16 13:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $50.28 |