Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://lmarena.ai/
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.54. up 0.20 over the period, from 0.34. Range 0.32 to 0.60. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.54	491	491
0.55	2,481	2,972
0.56	3,344	6,315
0.57	1,212	7,528
0.58	6,920	14,447
0.59	4,841	19,288
0.60	1,935	21,224
0.61	400	21,624
0.62	50	21,674
0.63	2,869	24,543
0.69	400	24,943
0.70	100	25,043

Spread0.01Mid0.54

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.53	1,028	1,028
0.52	3,734	4,762
0.51	16,124	20,886
0.50	5,545	26,431
0.49	114	26,545
0.48	221	26,766
0.47	31	26,797
0.41	23	26,820
0.40	272	27,092
0.39	522	27,614
0.38	2,823	30,437
0.37	3,035	33,473

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.47	1,028	1,028
0.48	3,734	4,762
0.49	16,124	20,886
0.50	5,545	26,431
0.51	114	26,545
0.52	221	26,766
0.53	31	26,797
0.59	23	26,820
0.60	272	27,092
0.61	522	27,614
0.62	2,823	30,437
0.63	3,035	33,473

Spread0.01Mid0.46

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.46	491	491
0.45	2,481	2,972
0.44	3,344	6,315
0.43	1,212	7,528
0.42	6,920	14,447
0.41	4,841	19,288
0.40	1,935	21,224
0.39	400	21,624
0.38	50	21,674
0.37	2,869	24,543
0.31	400	24,943
0.30	100	25,043

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Contentious-Dinnerdate	Yes	25,216.57
The-Joker	Yes	22,340.51
BigMackyG	Yes	22,270.88
eCash	Yes	19,335.88
anoin123	Yes	16,252.74
SnapElectionAvoider	Yes	15,557.6
JokerTheClown	Yes	10,298.19
GollumGekko	Yes	10,025.42
troim	Yes	7,999.75
poli.monaco	Yes	5,607.15
Sylvester.the.Cat	Yes	4,999.99
TruongMyLan	Yes	4,269.32
Rumpelstiltskin	Yes	3,942.65
Rr55	Yes	3,871.04
cambridgeisaac	Yes	3,697.5
Avotoast	Yes	3,212.6
deltasniper	Yes	2,999.99
mr.ozi	Yes	2,999.99
purplegatto	Yes	2,605
8396239287	Yes	2,447.39

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:32:22	SELL	Yes	0.53	3	$1.61
06:26:57	BUY	Yes	0.54	50	$27.00
06:26:57	BUY	Yes	0.54	9	$5.09
06:26:55	BUY	Yes	0.5399999568	4	$2.25
06:26:54	BUY	Yes	0.5399999682	8	$4.08
06:26:52	BUY	No	0.47	500	$235.00
04:54:13	BUY	Yes	0.5399999513	8	$4.21
04:37:43	BUY	Yes	0.54	19	$10.26
04:22:12	BUY	Yes	0.54	9	$5.09
04:22:10	BUY	Yes	0.54	12	$6.48
04:22:09	BUY	Yes	0.5399999816	22	$11.75
04:22:07	BUY	No	0.47	1,437	$675.32
04:14:57	BUY	Yes	0.5399999995	152	$82.00
03:42:16	BUY	No	0.47	12	$5.64
02:46:12	BUY	No	0.47	10	$4.74
01:09:15	BUY	No	0.4699998797	4	$1.68
00:51:24	BUY	No	0.47	8	$3.88
00:39:28	BUY	Yes	0.54	5	$2.70
00:39:24	BUY	No	0.4699999944	43	$20.00
00:25:06	BUY	No	0.47	5	$2.45
23:54:42	BUY	Yes	0.55	5	$2.75
23:54:37	BUY	No	0.4672802621	52	$24.24
23:32:04	SELL	Yes	0.54	67	$36.00
23:27:54	BUY	No	0.46	9	$4.26
23:14:31	BUY	No	0.46	10	$4.59