Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.29. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.23 to 0.36. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.30	191	191
0.31	63	254
0.32	66	320
0.33	213	534
0.34	641	1,174
0.37	64	1,238
0.40	45	1,283
0.45	20	1,303
0.62	50	1,353
0.63	75	1,428
0.64	200	1,628
0.65	200	1,828

Spread0.02Mid0.29

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	93	93
0.27	19	112
0.26	356	468
0.25	890	1,358
0.16	255	1,613
0.15	115	1,728
0.14	50	1,778
0.13	308	2,086
0.12	164	2,250
0.11	728	2,978
0.10	299	3,277
0.09	275	3,552

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	93	93
0.73	19	112
0.74	356	468
0.75	890	1,358
0.84	255	1,613
0.85	115	1,728
0.86	50	1,778
0.87	308	2,086
0.88	164	2,250
0.89	728	2,978
0.90	299	3,277
0.91	275	3,552

Spread0.02Mid0.71

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.70	191	191
0.69	63	254
0.68	66	320
0.67	213	534
0.66	641	1,174
0.63	64	1,238
0.60	45	1,283
0.55	20	1,303
0.38	50	1,353
0.37	75	1,428
0.36	200	1,628
0.35	200	1,828

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
enrico-vasaio	Yes	1,099.98
bmtr	Yes	778.84
molodoyy	Yes	590.56
NOPH	Yes	500
honest-owl	Yes	400
Nadmi	Yes	272.66
LornaPredicts	Yes	227.65
0x59d1…07ce	Yes	100
0xeE8aef5aDC04FFb8Cb3417233389473246BDf0b0-1773254929104	Yes	100
dropmeplease	Yes	94.73
Sheehave	Yes	80.2
Midas14	Yes	72.3
GuyFromTinder	Yes	45
everymarket	Yes	27.35
AJSV	Yes	24.42
thecaricature	Yes	23.43
shoobadooba18	Yes	20
Slowbucks	Yes	20
msin	Yes	20
cst-551	Yes	19.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:43:49	SELL	No	0.7	20	$14.00
11:50:37	SELL	No	0.68	24	$16.32
11:12:31	SELL	No	0.68	16	$10.88
11:11:09	SELL	No	0.67	74	$49.58
11:06:19	SELL	Yes	0.3279359095	106	$34.79
11:03:52	BUY	No	0.66	5	$3.51
11:03:51	SELL	Yes	0.34284	5	$1.71
11:03:51	BUY	No	0.6499999926	20	$13.20
11:03:48	SELL	Yes	0.36	209	$75.37
12:03:18	BUY	No	0.64	5	$3.20
11:55:33	SELL	Yes	0.35	2	$0.61
22:14:40	BUY	Yes	0.36	108	$38.74
21:23:19	SELL	Yes	0.35	30	$10.50
17:18:46	SELL	No	0.67	20	$13.40
19:47:33	SELL	Yes	0.29	9	$2.52
19:40:49	BUY	No	0.66	20	$13.20
18:06:19	BUY	No	0.67	20	$13.40
12:40:48	SELL	No	0.74	25	$18.50
10:20:49	SELL	Yes	0.25	9	$2.15
03:05:58	SELL	Yes	0.24	2	$0.42
22:49:57	BUY	No	0.71	75	$53.26
19:01:19	SELL	No	0.75	43	$32.60
19:01:18	SELL	No	0.77	20	$15.40
19:01:18	BUY	Yes	0.229999994	22	$5.00
19:01:18	BUY	Yes	0.229999994	22	$5.00