Midas14
0x61837ce7e447a35cafd173dec3e0815326003834
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $164.5k
- Markets traded
- 695
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded695
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$486.46at 0.105Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
- +$345.91at 0.957Google forced to sell Chrome?
- +$173.38at 0.399U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
- +$167.09at 0.313Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
- +$113.66at 0.850Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 16:24 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $34.80 |
| 10-12 02:49 | Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 10-10 20:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.15 |
| 10-10 20:18 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $14.57 |
| 10-09 18:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.87 | $31.32 |
| 10-09 18:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.87 | $220.10 |
| 10-09 18:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.7k |
| 10-04 22:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 21:50 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.3325245902 | $20.28 |
| 09-24 11:03 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $237.67 |
| 09-22 23:19 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.846 | $51.61 |
| 09-20 01:43 | Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 09-18 01:44 | Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $10.08 |
| 09-16 02:41 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 09-16 01:12 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |