PolyBot

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Traders

0x59d184d94984b26bab2baecbef2a0c356bd407ce

0x59d184d94984b26bab2baecbef2a0c356bd407ce

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$101.8k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$17.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 03:09Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0569999999$28.72
10-01 17:42Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.9783255287$886.26
10-01 01:59Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.9719999999$189.19
09-30 15:52Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9299999997$28.16
09-30 13:36Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9299999729$2.06
09-30 11:48Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.93$4.88
09-30 11:43Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9299999965$2.65
09-30 09:58Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.93$1.90
09-30 06:07Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9299999792$1.79
09-30 05:52Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9299999999$328.07
09-30 01:42Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.929999997$12.38
09-30 01:16Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9299999934$7.06
09-29 23:43Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0553851338$13.38
09-29 21:49Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9299999999$67.01
09-29 19:54Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9299999842$2.36