everymarket
0xa1a013a29709ebe6c6f7e1e1dc8b530fc4e52746
- Realised P&L
- $-8.7k
- Volume
- $438.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,252
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,252
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.591Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.0kat 0.328Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$628.35at 0.384Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$580.36at 0.610Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$498.17at 0.148Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 10:08 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.0305482042 | $16.16 |
| 10-10 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.8461225079 | $29.28 |
| 10-10 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.2099999977 | $7.27 |
| 10-10 02:12 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.1881210762 | $4.20 |
| 10-10 02:12 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.119 | $4.12 |
| 10-10 01:52 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.30 |
| 10-09 16:05 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.13982666 | $4.84 |
| 10-09 16:04 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2169999948 | $4.84 |
| 10-09 11:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.1099999996 | $9.10 |
| 10-09 10:26 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1543034912 | $83.70 |
| 10-09 10:25 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0351605104 | $18.60 |
| 10-09 10:24 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0359999999 | $4.65 |
| 10-09 10:24 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.65 |
| 10-09 10:21 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.008744656 | $4.65 |
| 10-09 10:21 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0093507559 | $4.65 |