PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

everymarket

0xa1a013a29709ebe6c6f7e1e1dc8b530fc4e52746

Realised P&L
$-8.7k
Volume
$438.4k
Markets traded
1,252
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,252
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lil Uzi Vert release an album in 2026? · No0.9000.500$2.2k−$1.7k
Will Lil Uzi Vert release an album in 2026? · Yes0.9000.500$2.1k−$1.7k
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027? · No0.9000.890$539.93−$6.07
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7580.966$156.64+$33.72
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9100.959$97.96+$4.96
SBF released from custody in 2026? · No0.9490.985$96.48+$3.48
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.8490.110$67.76−$455.49
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9730.987$37.73+$0.53
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes0.1540.060$32.55−$51.15
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.7820.907$27.26+$3.76
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · No0.5000.500$25.73+$0.00
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0160.009$23.55−$21.29
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes0.1000.135$12.55+$3.25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0510.030$11.09−$7.61
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0230.026$10.72+$1.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 10:08Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?SELL0.0305482042$16.16
10-10 04:02Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?SELL0.8461225079$29.28
10-10 02:18Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?BUY0.2099999977$7.27
10-10 02:12Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.1881210762$4.20
10-10 02:12Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.119$4.12
10-10 01:52Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.1$9.30
10-09 16:05Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.13982666$4.84
10-09 16:04Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.2169999948$4.84
10-09 11:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?BUY0.1099999996$9.10
10-09 10:26Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.1543034912$83.70
10-09 10:25Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.0351605104$18.60
10-09 10:24Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0359999999$4.65
10-09 10:24Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.002$4.65
10-09 10:21Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.008744656$4.65
10-09 10:21Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0093507559$4.65