PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.502. up 0.464 over the period, from 0.038. Range 0.028 to 0.517. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9249898
0.94521119
0.95010129
0.96620149
0.9897157
0.9908165
0.9959173
0.996199372
0.9976671,039
0.9981,0002,039
0.9992,0214,060

Spread0.839Mid0.505

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0854949
0.0842170
0.0821080
0.064686
0.035793
0.03420113
0.01115128
0.01033161
0.0067168
0.00541209
0.0039217
0.00250267

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9154949
0.9162170
0.9181080
0.936686
0.965793
0.96620113
0.98915128
0.99033161
0.9947168
0.99541209
0.9979217
0.99850267

Spread0.839Mid0.495

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0769898
0.05521119
0.05010129
0.03420149
0.0117157
0.0108165
0.0059173
0.004199372
0.0036671,039
0.0021,0002,039
0.0012,0214,060

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AjaxTokiYes968.96
lievreYes58.39
chessplayerYes21.99
chohakuneYes20.8
ScottsRoadYes20
a5533Yes10
sdfsdfsdfsdf2Yes4.87
0xE1203cDbA824c2516e3e6b46db7a87b83811283E-1771971814057No550.8
SuAltezaNo300
nonkenny90No111
cristinathearenaNo31.38
lorinclanNo25
manbo3No21.28
lolzzzlolNo20
nizamiNo20
dafa20No10.21
0x8875…2badNo5.43
hspje89No5.1
BoberKurwaYaPerdoleNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:57:51SELLNo0.925$5.00
06:56:21BUYYes0.103203095969$100.00
16:30:36BUYNo0.979480873110$10.00
05:40:12SELLYes0.02310$0.23
05:19:37SELLYes0.02310$0.23
13:39:58BUYYes0.048076923121$1.00
12:54:34BUYNo0.97720$19.54
15:28:45BUYNo0.985$5.00
13:17:42BUYNo0.9730$29.10
13:17:39BUYNo0.9620$19.20
10:05:25SELLNo0.950$0.41
08:08:55SELLYes0.0420$0.80
02:08:25SELLYes0.0620$1.20
02:00:46SELLYes0.0620$1.20
00:29:10BUYNo0.9425$23.50
13:56:12BUYNo0.939999998111$10.00
07:58:36BUYNo0.939999998111$10.00
06:12:19SELLYes0.0920$1.80
06:12:15BUYNo0.909999997620$18.60
06:12:15BUYNo0.91100$91.00
05:58:27SELLNo0.920$18.00
05:58:22SELLNo0.921$18.90
03:10:13SELLNo0.920$18.00
03:10:00BUYYes0.121$2.10