dafa20
0x9e1c1ed02698fd2ab82ef285d3c0131dc1482660
- Realised P&L
- $-51.82
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $23.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.12at 0.548Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$3.86at 0.810Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?
- +$3.81at 0.740Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$3.79at 0.737Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$3.58at 0.749Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 16:30 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9794808731 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 16:30 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999338 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 16:26 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.8979999565 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 16:26 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 11:01 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $6.00 |
| 08-07 11:01 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9550449521 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 11:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999935 | $8.00 |
| 08-07 10:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8825072329 | $12.00 |
| 07-21 03:04 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.9579999674 | $11.00 |
| 07-04 04:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.9399999986 | $13.00 |
| 07-04 03:59 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 03:59 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 16:48 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.9629999993 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 16:47 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 16:47 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |