PolyBot

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Traders

lorinclan

0xdef7a8b1d19e086f6e09d9583f3616cedeb8f638

Realised P&L
$31.40
Volume
$43.6k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$217.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.585$118.17+$17.17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5000.415$83.83$17.17
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by September 30, 2026? · No0.9400.464$11.59$11.91
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.9300.935$2.01+$0.01
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9800.973$1.99$0.01
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$3.80
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? · No0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$2.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 00:29Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by September 30, 2026?BUY0.94$23.50
08-16 08:15Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?BUY0.99$32.67
07-29 22:09US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.96$19.20
07-06 22:51Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July?BUY0.997$48.07
07-06 22:42Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.38$3.80
07-06 22:42Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.29$2.90
06-26 01:13Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.979999657$2.00
06-26 01:12GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.9299999814$2.00
06-26 01:10Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.96$1.60
06-26 01:09Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.95$1.50
06-26 01:09Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.95$1.00
06-26 01:08Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.889999911$1.00
06-26 01:08Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
06-26 01:08Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.8199999836$2.00
06-26 01:07Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?SELL0.993$43.23