manbo3
0x6d1f2982b71f92879a4747899d7de6227b53890d
- Realised P&L
- $483.62
- Volume
- $123.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,634
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,634
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.80at 0.504First Blood in Game 2?
- +$86.05at 0.828LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A
- +$59.92at 0.748Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$28.35at 0.928LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
- +$26.80at 0.932Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:33 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $6.12 |
| 09-18 11:27 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.9739999033 | $5.98 |
| 09-18 11:25 | Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - European Pro League Group A | SELL | 0.999 | $5.96 |
| 09-18 11:04 | Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - European Pro League Group A | BUY | 0.9869999993 | $5.90 |
| 09-18 11:03 | Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.92 |
| 09-18 10:34 | Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? | BUY | 0.9815814995 | $5.83 |
| 09-18 10:33 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.79 |
| 09-18 09:48 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.9813911846 | $5.70 |
| 09-18 07:39 | Will Amazon be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.8811859358 | $39.99 |
| 09-18 07:37 | Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $14.81 |
| 09-18 07:34 | Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999987 | $14.87 |
| 09-18 06:21 | Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.915 | $36.60 |
| 09-18 05:50 | Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999986 | $27.07 |
| 09-18 05:46 | Will Microsoft be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.67 |
| 09-18 05:46 | Will Microsoft be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999993 | $25.94 |