manbo3
0x6d1f2982b71f92879a4747899d7de6227b53890d
- Realised P&L
- $294.75
- Volume
- $102.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,700
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,700
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.36at 0.491First Blood in Game 2?
- +$86.05at 0.828LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A
- +$59.92at 0.748Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$28.35at 0.928LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
- +$26.80at 0.932Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 01:58 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $800B by August 31? | BUY | 0.9598068799 | $49.70 |
| 08-02 00:57 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $60.00 |
| 08-02 00:54 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:51 | Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 08-01 17:32 | Will Chainlink reach $20 in August? | BUY | 0.9443387475 | $39.50 |
| 08-01 17:31 | Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-01 17:30 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-01 17:30 | Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-01 17:26 | LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | BUY | 0.9969999769 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 16:48 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.9658535761 | $24.00 |
| 08-01 15:57 | Game Handicap: YG (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-01 15:57 | Game Handicap: YG (-2.5) vs Team Spirit (+2.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-01 15:53 | Will Chainlink reach $18 in August? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 15:51 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-01 15:51 | Game Handicap: YG (-2.5) vs Team Spirit (+2.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $4.50 |