PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

manbo3

0x6d1f2982b71f92879a4747899d7de6227b53890d

Realised P&L
$483.62
Volume
$123.2k
Markets traded
3,634
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,634
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in September? · No0.9400.971$103.29+$3.25
Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation on September 30? · No0.9710.941$87.34$2.83
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9710.995$71.25+$1.69
Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · No0.9200.995$60.71+$4.58
Will Revolut have the second highest private market valuation on September 30? · No0.9800.998$50.88+$0.88
Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation on September 30? · No0.9800.998$50.88+$0.88
Will Perplexity have the second highest private market valuation on September 30? · No0.9800.998$50.88+$0.88
Will Alvaro Penta in LEC Summer Split 2026? · No0.9950.964$48.20$1.55
Will Parus Penta in LEC Summer Split 2026? · No0.9950.964$48.20$1.55
Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · No0.9200.998$47.03+$3.65
Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.9400.960$43.08+$0.90
Will Amazon be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? · No0.8810.925$41.98+$1.99
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.9980.999$41.92+$0.02
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.9150.960$38.40+$1.80
Will Runway have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.9660.999$36.18+$1.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:33LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.999$6.12
09-18 11:27LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.9739999033$5.98
09-18 11:25Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - European Pro League Group ASELL0.999$5.96
09-18 11:04Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - European Pro League Group ABUY0.9869999993$5.90
09-18 11:03Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?SELL0.999$5.92
09-18 10:34Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?BUY0.9815814995$5.83
09-18 10:33Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?SELL0.999$5.79
09-18 09:48Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?BUY0.9813911846$5.70
09-18 07:39Will Amazon be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?BUY0.8811859358$39.99
09-18 07:37Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.9$14.81
09-18 07:34Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.9399999987$14.87
09-18 06:21Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.915$36.60
09-18 05:50Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.9399999986$27.07
09-18 05:46Will Microsoft be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?BUY0.94$15.67
09-18 05:46Will Microsoft be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?BUY0.9399999993$25.94