PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

nonkenny90

0x5cd5c8d7a17c78d7389d8b87b611aed83322ac33

Realised P&L
$86.6k
Volume
$31.85M
Markets traded
8,676
Open portfolio
$378.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,676
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7810.835$134.7k+$8.7k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8740.945$23.9k+$1.8k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7210.855$18.5k+$2.9k
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.8910.984$13.1k+$1.2k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7870.855$12.1k+$955.08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.7280.915$12.0k+$2.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8610.925$9.5k+$658.27
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.9740.993$8.7k+$159.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.8880.970$6.9k+$584.46
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? · No0.9430.965$6.6k+$149.24
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.7570.955$5.5k+$1.1k
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.9110.969$5.4k+$324.65
Iran leadership change by November 30? · No0.8980.915$4.9k+$92.84
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.8540.885$4.7k+$166.77
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7670.925$4.7k+$801.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:23Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.963$534.35
09-17 02:23Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.963$625.95
09-17 02:22Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.81$170.91
09-17 02:22Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?BUY0.92$268.03
09-17 02:22Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?BUY0.97$485.00
09-17 02:21Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.965$434.25
09-17 02:20Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.92$25.16
09-17 02:19Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.955$224.70
09-17 02:18Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?BUY0.96984375$527.60
09-17 02:17Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$105.27
09-17 02:11Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?BUY0.95$288.80
09-17 02:09Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.018$3.80
09-17 02:08Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September 2026?BUY0.93$41.85
09-17 02:06Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.86$602.00
09-17 02:05Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?BUY0.95$127.30