nonkenny90
0x5cd5c8d7a17c78d7389d8b87b611aed83322ac33
- Realised P&L
- $86.6k
- Volume
- $31.85M
- Markets traded
- 8,676
- Open portfolio
- $378.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,676
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.4kat 0.640Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
- +$77.9kat 0.430Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-01?
- +$44.3kat 0.564Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$31.3kat 0.616Will Solana dip to $110 in March?
- +$29.4kat 0.807Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:23 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.963 | $534.35 |
| 09-17 02:23 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.963 | $625.95 |
| 09-17 02:22 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $170.91 |
| 09-17 02:22 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $268.03 |
| 09-17 02:22 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $485.00 |
| 09-17 02:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $434.25 |
| 09-17 02:20 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $25.16 |
| 09-17 02:19 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.955 | $224.70 |
| 09-17 02:18 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96984375 | $527.60 |
| 09-17 02:17 | Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $105.27 |
| 09-17 02:11 | Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $288.80 |
| 09-17 02:09 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.018 | $3.80 |
| 09-17 02:08 | Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $41.85 |
| 09-17 02:06 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $602.00 |
| 09-17 02:05 | Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $127.30 |