AjaxToki
0xf9c37a109c62feaaffdb9e0f3428589d17cf973e
- Realised P&L
- $196.63
- Volume
- $26.0k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $607.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$295.98at 0.336Will the Seattle Mariners win the AL West Division?
- +$101.29at 0.597India military action against Pakistan before June?
- +$86.50at 0.790Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$79.00at 0.210Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
- +$78.47at 0.718French election called by October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 06:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1923076923 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 06:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.103203095 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 06:54 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4105848782 | $100.00 |
| 04-12 06:08 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $325.40 |
| 11-13 16:15 | Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP? | BUY | 0.0689913495 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 13:35 | Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit? | SELL | 0.98484 | $78.79 |
| 10-13 13:39 | Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $20.19 |
| 10-13 13:38 | French election called by October 17? | BUY | 0.7182165835 | $200.00 |
| 10-13 13:32 | Will Trump say "Phase Two" during Egypt summit? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 13:32 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Egypt summit? | BUY | 0.3099999895 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 13:32 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Egypt summit? | BUY | 0.321660933 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 13:29 | Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Egypt summit? | BUY | 0.094087857 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 13:29 | Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during Egypt summit? | BUY | 0.4523729825 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 13:26 | Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 13:22 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship? | BUY | 0.3535671732 | $100.00 |