PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AjaxToki

0xf9c37a109c62feaaffdb9e0f3428589d17cf973e

Realised P&L
$196.63
Volume
$26.0k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$607.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1030.498$482.54+$382.54
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4100.435$105.95+$5.95
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1920.180$18.72$1.28
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Egypt summit? · No0.0940.000$0.00$20.00
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$199.99
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$150.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$150.00
Dodgers vs. Mariners · Mariners0.5400.000$0.00$50.00
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? · No0.2000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Egypt summit? · No0.3100.000$0.00$20.00
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during Egypt summit? · No0.4520.000$0.00$20.00
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$5.00
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship? · Yes0.3530.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 06:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1923076923$20.00
09-16 06:56Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by September 30, 2026?BUY0.103203095$100.00
09-16 06:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4105848782$100.00
04-12 06:08Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.7899999998$325.40
11-13 16:15Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?BUY0.0689913495$100.00
10-14 13:35Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?SELL0.98484$78.79
10-13 13:39Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?SELL0.998$20.19
10-13 13:38French election called by October 17?BUY0.7182165835$200.00
10-13 13:32Will Trump say "Phase Two" during Egypt summit?BUY0.64$20.00
10-13 13:32Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Egypt summit?BUY0.3099999895$20.00
10-13 13:32Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Egypt summit?BUY0.321660933$20.00
10-13 13:29Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Egypt summit?BUY0.094087857$20.00
10-13 13:29Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during Egypt summit?BUY0.4523729825$20.00
10-13 13:26Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?BUY0.25$20.00
10-13 13:22Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?BUY0.3535671732$100.00