PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.09. down 0.17 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.05 to 0.28. 102 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.10159159
0.3363221
0.346227
0.595232
0.966238
0.978246
0.9824270
0.995,0165,286

Spread0.03Mid0.09

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.072020
0.062141
0.052061
0.041172
0.032092
0.02597
0.0136132

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.932020
0.942141
0.952061
0.961172
0.972092
0.98597
0.9936132

Spread0.03Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.90159159
0.6763221
0.666227
0.415232
0.046238
0.038246
0.0224270
0.015,0165,286

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
QR1Yes212.86
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes117.01
GuyFromTinderYes92
romanew-1-newYes62.5
AJSVYes25.88
youtube-traderYes21.27
Numitus1994Yes21
lolzzzlolYes20
lissartterYes17.8
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes6
smellyEllieNo326.8
SuAltezaNo200
viniiNo38.47
SanctionedBetsNo11
asa1234No10
iminmymomscarbroombroomNo5.43
hspje89No2.15
osmychNo1.27
0x5449…992bNo1.2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:30:17SELLYes0.0918$1.60
21:30:02BUYNo0.92100$92.00
16:58:28BUYNo0.92999998142$2.00
14:48:11BUYNo0.984$75.15
08:09:01BUYNo0.845121951241$34.65
07:52:01BUYNo0.7959$46.44
07:48:20BUYNo0.78999986571$1.00
06:54:19BUYYes0.220$4.00
06:53:10BUYNo0.7837$28.89
02:13:26BUYYes0.1082627079213$23.04
15:26:51SELLNo0.90$0.44
08:34:27SELLNo0.9310$9.30
23:22:29SELLYes0.0614$0.84
18:15:11SELLYes0.036$0.18
18:14:23SELLYes0.054285714314$0.76
18:14:21BUYNo0.9234$31.61
17:55:38BUYNo0.921$1.10
17:55:36BUYNo0.925$5.00
17:55:33BUYNo0.933$29.61
16:17:44SELLYes0.118$0.87
15:26:24BUYYes0.1211$1.30
15:26:00BUYNo0.8714$12.21
15:14:39SELLYes0.1320$2.60
14:09:15BUYNo0.970633688720$19.41
14:09:14BUYNo0.922592592681$74.73