PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

osmych

0x700873af122e6702be1e85412f3008c0cbdb2fdd

Realised P&L
$-1.80
Volume
$144.34
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$114.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia win the next Stavropol Krai Parliament elections? · Yes0.9390.954$10.16+$0.16
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.9740.974$8.00$0.00
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No0.7530.725$6.74$0.26
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · No0.8750.830$6.64$0.36
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? · No0.9670.960$5.96$0.04
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9100.925$5.08+$0.08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.955$5.08+$0.08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8400.835$4.97$0.03
Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections? · Yes0.9790.966$4.93$0.07
Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.9670.953$4.93$0.07
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.8000.765$4.88$0.22
Will United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.9790.950$4.85$0.15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9600.979$3.06+$0.06
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes0.6800.610$2.69$0.31
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5500.625$2.27+$0.27

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:03Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
09-17 11:03Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.829999502$1.00
09-16 14:14Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.9639999884$1.00
09-16 14:03Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.9659999974$3.00
09-16 09:50Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
09-16 09:46Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
09-16 09:36Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.9099992538$1.00
09-16 09:34Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-16 09:34Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.849999915$1.00
09-16 09:34Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9549999952$1.00
09-15 07:32Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-14 16:02Will Oleg Melnichenko win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?BUY0.9739999922$1.00
09-14 16:00Will United Russia win the next Stavropol Krai Parliament elections?BUY0.9389999946$10.00
09-14 15:58Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?BUY0.9669999658$5.00
09-14 15:57Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.962$2.00