osmych
0x700873af122e6702be1e85412f3008c0cbdb2fdd
- Realised P&L
- $62.36
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 583
- Open portfolio
- $699.04
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded583
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.73at 0.901Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?
- +$7.87at 0.659Paris curfew by October 24?
- +$6.89at 0.970Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?
- +$6.16at 0.993Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?
- +$2.75at 0.522Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:39 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:33 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:38 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:37 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.829999502 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:47 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.899999685 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 17:41 | Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:38 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:28 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:21 | NATO downs another Russian drone by November 30? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:18 | Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 17:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | BUY | 0.9659999942 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 17:10 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.9009999297 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 17:02 | Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 17:02 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |