PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

asa1234

0xe6ddee45e2043384b8dc970410f19b47590af8ee

Realised P&L
$-1.08
Volume
$264.14
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$180.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9850.987$30.05+$0.05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9690.969$29.05−$0.01
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.9100.915$10.05+$0.05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.9100.915$10.05+$0.05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9700.976$9.76+$0.06
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9700.971$9.71+$0.01
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.955$9.55−$0.05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9400.945$9.44+$0.05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by October 31, 2026? · No0.9300.915$9.15−$0.15
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.9100.915$9.15+$0.05
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8900.910$9.10+$0.20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.8600.895$8.95+$0.35
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8900.885$8.85−$0.05
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9540.964$8.65+$0.09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.845$8.45−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 04:47Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.969$9.69
10-05 04:44China x Philippines military clash before 2027?SELL0.73$9.86
10-05 04:43China ballistic missile launch by December 31?SELL0.78$17.43
10-05 00:14Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?BUY0.91$9.10
10-04 14:10China ballistic missile launch by December 31?BUY0.81$8.10
10-04 03:55US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$9.60
10-03 07:43Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.89$8.90
10-02 22:51Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
10-02 18:36China ballistic missile launch by December 31?BUY0.8099999352$10.00
10-02 18:35China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.7399999896$10.00
10-02 18:32US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.86$8.60
10-02 11:16Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9849999286$10.00
10-02 11:15Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9849999286$10.00
10-02 10:44Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
10-02 09:35Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.94$9.39