PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.47. up 0.39 over the period, from 0.08. Range 0.07 to 0.49. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.579797
0.585102
0.60605707
0.635001,207
0.644,9826,189
0.70186,207
0.72206,227
0.76106,237
0.863696,606
0.893,3339,939
0.93409,979
0.953010,009

Spread0.18Mid0.48

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.39198198
0.37120318
0.35300618
0.33300918
0.313001,218
0.28121,230
0.262001,430
0.252801,710
0.23151,725
0.20171,742
0.18811,824
0.171802,004

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.61198198
0.63120318
0.65300618
0.67300918
0.693001,218
0.72121,230
0.742001,430
0.752801,710
0.77151,725
0.80171,742
0.82811,824
0.831802,004

Spread0.18Mid0.52

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.439797
0.425102
0.40605707
0.375001,207
0.364,9826,189
0.30186,207
0.28206,227
0.24106,237
0.143696,606
0.113,3339,939
0.07409,979
0.053010,009

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
WickierYes753.94
suraxyYes479
AiBirdYes427.99
Gobirds4133Yes257.37
AjaxTokiYes243.56
dave12345Yes220
CryptoPlaybookYes200
hangwaYes187.36
党的光辉照我心Yes185.13
iwillfknmakeittYes151.71
GaroxYes127.05
enekestomiYes120
TigerrYes113.91
lievreYes110
S888Yes101.8
hereweYes100
NefarantYes92.11
purgitaYes83.47
chessplayerYes62
AIfanYes60

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:59:25BUYNo0.4660$27.60
07:46:37SELLNo0.552$1.04
07:46:36BUYYes0.438946528114$50.00
06:54:43BUYYes0.4105848782244$100.00
06:09:46BUYYes0.389999980916$6.32
05:31:09BUYNo0.6212$7.44
05:28:09BUYNo0.63200$126.00
05:26:45BUYNo0.6240$24.80
05:25:45BUYNo0.5920$11.80
04:31:16SELLNo0.5220$10.40
04:21:48BUYYes0.434246234492$40.00
02:53:52BUYYes0.4699999985$2.40
02:46:03SELLYes0.3094876665$1.63
02:44:09BUYNo0.684211036670$47.99
01:11:03SELLYes0.318$5.35
01:02:39BUYNo0.6518$11.45
00:58:54BUYYes0.590693677435$20.45
00:56:43BUYNo0.6329$18.55
00:17:04BUYYes0.629999968510$6.00
22:49:25SELLNo0.3132$9.80
22:40:57BUYYes0.3885400643257$100.00
22:04:33BUYYes0.26179$46.63
21:23:19BUYYes0.2641$10.57
21:15:06SELLYes0.2520$5.00
20:52:39BUYNo0.75100$75.00