Garox
0x03efc77d6b0ad8f4420affc881eeffb95f5bf729
- Realised P&L
- $-606.85
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No | 0.760 | 0.805 | $468.63 | +$26.14 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No | 0.675 | 0.840 | $443.21 | +$86.87 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.955 | $413.42 | +$119.05 |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? · No | 0.864 | 0.870 | $121.70 | +$0.90 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.353 | 0.415 | $52.73 | +$7.93 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 7? · No | 0.514 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.03 |
| UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card) · Damian Rzepecki | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) · Ian Machado Garry | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.77 |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? · No | 0.933 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$324.58at 0.730UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$112.36at 0.768Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$84.63at 0.207Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$46.44at 0.875Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?
- +$40.39at 0.858Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:16 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.88 |
| 09-15 18:13 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $22.97 |
| 09-15 18:12 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 09-13 10:47 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $115.03 |
| 09-13 10:46 | Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.40 |
| 09-13 10:44 | Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $77.40 |
| 09-13 10:42 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.928822371 | $235.83 |
| 09-05 11:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $208.20 |
| 09-05 11:26 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | SELL | 0.9550458716 | $208.20 |
| 09-01 15:54 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $29.92 |
| 09-01 15:53 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $32.07 |
| 09-01 15:53 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $44.70 |
| 08-28 19:19 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.43 |
| 08-28 19:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.33 |
| 08-28 19:16 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | BUY | 0.2 | $15.95 |