CryptoPlaybook
0xd4f71021a1027b603105b56ed005cbd3556373bb
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $600.6k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.3kat 0.546Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$891.50at 0.243Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$802.50at 0.445Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$751.23at 0.250Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$300.00at 0.400Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 03:02 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | BUY | 0.9458941379 | $329.17 |
| 07-21 02:59 | Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? | BUY | 0.9769999999 | $200.00 |
| 07-15 06:43 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.198 | $110.09 |
| 07-15 06:42 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.227 | $45.40 |
| 07-15 06:42 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $203.35 |
| 06-23 05:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5527406969 | $700.00 |
| 06-23 05:41 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.015 | $600.00 |
| 06-23 05:37 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $600.00 |
| 06-11 13:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 06-11 12:57 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $500.00 |
| 06-02 07:12 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $250.00 |
| 06-01 13:09 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7153653143 | $250.38 |
| 05-19 06:17 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.15 |
| 05-13 06:01 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 02:36 | Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary | SELL | 0.57 | $94.82 |