Nefarant
0x23f285b8450806371d0be4fade87857979a5c405
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $45.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,451
- Open portfolio
- $59.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,451
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$518.58at 0.637Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$353.28at 0.387Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$241.36at 0.276Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$178.34at 0.461Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
- +$174.54at 0.537Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:21 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4342462344 | $40.00 |
| 09-11 03:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 21:26 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6674999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 21:31 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.2799999966 | $40.00 |
| 07-18 21:06 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.56 | $70.00 |
| 07-18 21:05 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.5699999987 | $40.00 |
| 07-14 18:32 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5599999992 | $190.00 |
| 07-12 03:34 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.97 | $194.64 |
| 07-12 03:06 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7474999999 | $150.00 |
| 07-12 03:05 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 07-12 03:04 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.4053919392 | $40.54 |
| 07-12 03:04 | Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | SELL | 0.8625 | $17.25 |
| 07-12 01:13 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.625 | $250.00 |
| 07-11 20:51 | Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.1299999929 | $15.00 |
| 07-11 20:40 | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |