PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

党的光辉照我心

0x51ba9580d16b3264930ce28778e701f08aee3ca5

Realised P&L
$6.0k
Volume
$809.4k
Markets traded
451
Open portfolio
$70.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded451
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.2000.250$12.50+$2.50
Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? · No0.8100.915$11.30+$1.30
Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? · No0.8700.902$10.37+$0.37
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.250$9.62$0.38
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · No0.7680.616$8.02$1.98
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1080.035$6.57$13.43
Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election? · Yes0.9300.880$4.74$0.27
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.9200.820$4.28$0.52
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes0.9180.875$2.86$0.14
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner · BNK FearX Youth0.5600.000$0.00$200.00
First Blood in Game 2? · G2 Esports0.5700.000$0.00$200.00
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage · Kiwoom DRX0.5500.000$0.00$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Up0.7600.000$0.00$100.00
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs · Nongshim Esports Academy0.5390.000$0.00$500.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.4950.000$0.00$297.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 15:18Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.94$1000.00
09-16 15:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$3.5k
09-16 11:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$7.8k
09-14 11:37LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$370.00
09-14 10:12LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.5869688915$200.00
09-14 08:48LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5399999991$200.00
09-14 08:23LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.4799999996$200.00
09-13 06:11LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5799999992$150.00
09-11 12:33LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffsSELL0.999$1.1k
09-11 08:45LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffsBUY0.8199999999$934.09
09-09 13:32Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)BUY0.4955691165$500.00
09-09 12:08LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffsBUY0.5389676616$500.00
09-09 10:32LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.5699999994$300.00
09-09 09:20LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.4299999998$300.00
09-08 17:04US Open WTA (Doubles): Jiang/Zhang vs Dabrowski/StefaniBUY0.8299999993$100.00