党的光辉照我心
0x51ba9580d16b3264930ce28778e701f08aee3ca5
- Realised P&L
- $6.0k
- Volume
- $809.4k
- Markets traded
- 451
- Open portfolio
- $70.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded451
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.424Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
- +$4.3kat 0.695Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$1.5kat 0.885Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.3kat 0.570Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)?
- +$892.39at 0.612Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:18 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.94 | $1000.00 |
| 09-16 15:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.5k |
| 09-16 11:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.8k |
| 09-14 11:37 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $370.00 |
| 09-14 10:12 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.5869688915 | $200.00 |
| 09-14 08:48 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5399999991 | $200.00 |
| 09-14 08:23 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4799999996 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 06:11 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $150.00 |
| 09-11 12:33 | LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 09-11 08:45 | LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | BUY | 0.8199999999 | $934.09 |
| 09-09 13:32 | Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4955691165 | $500.00 |
| 09-09 12:08 | LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | BUY | 0.5389676616 | $500.00 |
| 09-09 10:32 | LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $300.00 |
| 09-09 09:20 | LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.4299999998 | $300.00 |
| 09-08 17:04 | US Open WTA (Doubles): Jiang/Zhang vs Dabrowski/Stefani | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |