enekestomi
0xed7e4f93b4bcd09b34ece1d0655f27ac79eb2fe2
- Realised P&L
- $5.0k
- Volume
- $181.6k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · No | 0.785 | 0.840 | $1.8k | +$118.92 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.798 | 0.945 | $944.69 | +$146.98 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.105 | $105.08 | −$345.26 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.494 | 0.125 | $51.19 | −$151.22 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.70 |
| France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.669Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$696.81at 0.311Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
- +$320.27at 0.923Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$249.41at 0.958Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$159.64at 0.976Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 11:44 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $163.02 |
| 07-24 12:18 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.22 | $35.75 |
| 07-24 12:18 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 07-23 17:20 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.70 |
| 07-23 17:19 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $182.25 |
| 07-23 09:00 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $218.40 |
| 07-23 09:00 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 07-21 18:03 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $257.40 |
| 07-21 18:03 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 07-21 18:03 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $109.45 |
| 07-16 10:28 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.39 | $107.29 |
| 07-15 07:57 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9761372366 | $200.00 |
| 07-13 18:46 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9703019714 | $200.00 |
| 07-13 18:45 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9678965365 | $200.00 |
| 07-13 12:52 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9778620442 | $600.00 |