iwillfknmakeitt
0xa9dad4e5d6a572fbfbada0f3b6f6c5c0b6bfaa1c
- Realised P&L
- $-17.46
- Volume
- $61.0k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $101.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$830.02at 0.220GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
- +$468.62at 0.373Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$454.81at 0.315Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
- +$400.74at 0.282GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
- +$384.30at 0.580Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 21:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $68.86 |
| 08-05 10:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999976 | $72.00 |
| 08-02 07:08 | Will the Senate go into recess by August 8? | BUY | 0.6631899248 | $81.00 |
| 08-01 08:41 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.632 | $69.32 |
| 07-31 23:42 | Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6345139567 | $210.00 |
| 07-31 22:49 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.6709001498 | $134.38 |
| 07-31 22:12 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $217.72 |
| 07-31 22:11 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $6.04 |
| 07-29 22:57 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.1744093221 | $12.00 |
| 07-29 21:41 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.1466334073 | $12.00 |
| 07-29 05:01 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.6809999998 | $204.00 |
| 07-28 10:40 | Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence? | BUY | 0.6080155273 | $210.00 |
| 07-28 09:45 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.0270000001 | $9.00 |
| 07-28 09:42 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.0032321529 | $9.00 |
| 07-28 01:13 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.645186954 | $200.00 |