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iwillfknmakeitt

0xa9dad4e5d6a572fbfbada0f3b6f6c5c0b6bfaa1c

Realised P&L
$-17.46
Volume
$61.0k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$101.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Senate go into recess by August 8? · Yes0.6630.835$101.98+$20.98
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No0.2320.000$0.00$209.23
Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No0.3500.000$0.00$12.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? · Yes0.3480.000$0.00$246.91
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers0.4700.000$0.00$30.00
Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · No0.4970.000$0.00$60.00
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Angels0.4400.000$0.00$30.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$3.00
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$12.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 5? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$3.00
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.3200.000$0.00$15.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$120.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5? · Yes0.2830.000$0.00$9.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$14.50
Will "AI" be said 35+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · No0.4870.000$0.00$60.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 21:31US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.66$68.86
08-05 10:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6899999976$72.00
08-02 07:08Will the Senate go into recess by August 8?BUY0.6631899248$81.00
08-01 08:41Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.632$69.32
07-31 23:42Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6345139567$210.00
07-31 22:49Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.6709001498$134.38
07-31 22:12U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.994$217.72
07-31 22:11U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.995$6.04
07-29 22:57U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.1744093221$12.00
07-29 21:41U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.1466334073$12.00
07-29 05:01U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.6809999998$204.00
07-28 10:40Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?BUY0.6080155273$210.00
07-28 09:45Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.0270000001$9.00
07-28 09:42Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.0032321529$9.00
07-28 01:13Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.645186954$200.00
Trader iwillfknmakeitt · PolyBot