PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.28. up 0.08 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.20 to 0.75. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.488989
0.4955143
0.5112155
0.6020175
0.775180
0.799189
0.80100289
0.865294
0.9021315
0.9996411

Spread0.34Mid0.31

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.141010
0.134555
0.102176
0.0329105
0.02100205
0.0123228

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.861010
0.874555
0.902176
0.9729105
0.98100205
0.9923228

Spread0.34Mid0.69

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.528989
0.5155143
0.4912155
0.4020175
0.235180
0.219189
0.20100289
0.145294
0.1021315
0.0196411

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
S888Yes51.36
LornaPredictsYes50
romanew-1-newYes41.67
FluoYes40
lievreYes34
AJSVYes31.98
tradetosurvive1Yes25
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes12.91
savant52Yes4
TBill1No60.24
0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b97-1761944125351No58.7
AiBirdNo54
OlcanNo45.47
chessplayerNo41
Mojito9No19.4
V4Mb7vN6JDACV1No8
Ablancob94No1.49
WartlockNo1.39
hspje89No1.23

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:27:07BUYNo0.851765133359$50.00
22:34:46BUYNo0.734580013360$44.25
19:43:49BUYNo0.71999994241$1.00
03:22:42BUYNo0.66999991961$1.00
08:51:10SELLYes0.2613$3.36
08:51:10SELLYes0.6180$48.80
03:23:51BUYNo0.411$4.26
22:36:45SELLYes0.230$0.09
22:36:45SELLYes0.295$1.45
22:36:30BUYYes0.237391304323$5.46
22:36:15SELLNo0.7820$15.60
22:36:10BUYYes0.228$1.83
22:36:10BUYYes0.2283$18.26
23:30:48SELLNo0.7540$30.33
21:31:24BUYYes0.254$1.00
12:10:28BUYNo0.72618199840$29.37
08:38:42SELLNo0.8320$16.60
08:38:18SELLNo0.8420$16.80
08:38:07SELLNo0.8630$25.80
08:38:03SELLNo0.8751$44.37
08:31:24SELLNo0.8810$8.80
08:14:06BUYNo0.921$18.90
08:13:40BUYNo0.8061538462130$104.80
15:28:00BUYNo0.80999962741$1.00
13:20:51SELLNo0.8110$8.10