PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Wartlock

0xe85607bf3eddcc3f7cff16671695f5e96bba3789

Realised P&L
$-599.36
Volume
$42.3k
Markets traded
1,093
Open portfolio
$869.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,093
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? · No0.6420.730$223.62+$26.84
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · No0.8270.885$55.30+$3.60
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.7180.956$45.29+$11.29
Don Lemon sentenced to prison? · No0.7890.951$33.74+$5.74
Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30? · No0.4590.741$32.29+$12.29
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.7480.825$27.57+$2.57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.7430.875$23.56+$3.56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.6430.715$22.24+$2.24
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9030.968$19.92+$1.33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7720.935$19.39+$3.39
SPLC found guilty in 2026? · No0.6450.916$16.18+$4.79
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.8200.830$15.18+$0.18
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9110.973$14.95+$0.95
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.5830.395$14.89$7.10
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · No0.9030.945$14.39+$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 01:52Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-19 01:51Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.4411764446$5.00
09-18 15:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-18 15:53Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1859999684$1.00
09-18 11:26Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-18 10:56Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?BUY0.5$5.00
09-17 13:30Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?BUY0.901999878$5.00
09-17 13:23Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
09-16 19:43Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-16 19:43Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-16 19:42Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3499999825$3.00
09-16 19:41Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-16 19:40Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
09-16 17:44Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-16 12:35Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8199999967$15.00