PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Wartlock

0xe85607bf3eddcc3f7cff16671695f5e96bba3789

Realised P&L
$-727.59
Volume
$40.3k
Markets traded
1,043
Open portfolio
$815.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,043
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? · No0.6540.725$164.18+$16.08
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · No0.8270.850$53.11+$1.42
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.7180.954$45.17+$11.17
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.5540.535$33.80$1.20
Don Lemon sentenced to prison? · No0.7890.951$33.74+$5.74
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.6060.895$31.01+$10.01
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · No0.8640.940$29.47+$2.38
Tim Walz in jail by December 31? · No0.9440.945$27.04+$0.04
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.7480.770$25.73+$0.73
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.7430.745$20.06+$0.06
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9030.957$19.69+$1.10
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.6210.885$18.67+$5.56
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.1600.365$18.25+$10.25
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · No0.6380.735$18.09+$2.39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7410.935$16.40+$3.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:10Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-03 08:04 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.7399998964$5.00
08-02 18:40Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.5899998112$3.00
08-02 17:58Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
08-02 16:33Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
08-02 14:17Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8089999701$5.00
08-02 14:14Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by August 31?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-02 14:10Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?BUY0.8699999983$5.00
08-02 14:03Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.8$20.05
08-01 19:36Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.998$6.90
08-01 18:04SPLC found guilty in 2026?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-01 18:03Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?SELL0.9$5.23
08-01 18:01US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.91$17.27
08-01 17:59Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?SELL0.97$3.52
08-01 17:44James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?SELL0.966$4.19