PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

V4Mb7vN6JDACV1

0xceb42459978f0ae88670aec0cdff96e9aa64f81a

Realised P&L
$-253.64
Volume
$52.2k
Markets traded
1,461
Open portfolio
$231.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,461
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dalton Kincaid have 349.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7900.957$15.30+$2.66
Will Juwan Johnson have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8150.941$15.05+$2.01
Will Rome Odunze have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8500.845$13.52−$0.08
Will Kyle Monangai have 449.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7450.790$12.64+$0.72
Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6000.785$12.56+$2.96
Will Tucker Kraft have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8050.755$12.08−$0.80
Will Jordan Addison have 474.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8200.690$11.04−$2.08
Will Bhayshul Tuten have 499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7440.890$8.90+$1.46
Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.967$7.73+$0.53
Will Jaxson Dart have 1.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.9000.948$7.58+$0.38
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · No0.9200.938$7.50+$0.14
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election? · No0.9200.925$7.40+$0.04
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.915$7.32+$0.20
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · No0.1400.910$7.28+$6.16
Will Parker Washington have 549.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7900.895$7.16+$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 10:36Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 24-30?SELL0.988$7.90
08-26 11:29Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-26?SELL0.38$2.89
08-26 10:05Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028?SELL0.63141875$10.10
08-21 15:57Will Legacy Win the CS2 EWC 2026?SELL0.876625$7.01
08-21 15:56Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?SELL0.732625$5.86
08-21 15:55Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.777$1.80
08-16 16:34Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?SELL0.82$2.46
08-16 16:33Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 17?SELL0.9$7.20
08-16 16:33Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?SELL0.822$4.11
08-10 12:27Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?SELL0.83$6.64
08-10 12:27Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?SELL0.911$7.29
08-10 12:26Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?SELL0.945$7.56
08-10 12:25Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 10?SELL0.8$1.34
08-10 12:25Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 10?SELL0.8$2.74
08-10 12:24Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 10?SELL0.997$3.56