PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b97-1761944125351

0xce835747e39bf987de4c04052b1677e6633e5b97

Realised P&L
$23.2k
Volume
$866.0k
Markets traded
588
Open portfolio
$10.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded588
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? · No0.8560.825$2.4k−$89.93
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9500.955$2.1k+$11.05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8670.997$1.1k+$149.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? · No0.8540.920$570.97+$40.97
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November? · No0.8600.855$497.09−$2.91
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November? · No0.8210.790$481.36−$18.64
Will Solana dip to $70 in November? · No0.8700.850$425.00−$10.00
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $42 in November? · No0.8650.870$402.38+$2.38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? · Yes0.8700.925$318.82+$18.82
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in November? · No0.8720.855$313.64−$6.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? · No0.8600.880$306.98+$6.98
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8400.835$298.21−$1.79
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 2, 2026? · No0.9100.990$217.58+$17.58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · Yes0.8600.935$217.44+$17.44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · Yes0.9190.988$215.02+$15.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 18:36Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November?BUY0.8599999998$500.00
11-02 14:15Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?BUY0.8599999998$500.00
11-02 14:072026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.95$1000.00
11-02 13:57Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $42 in November?BUY0.8695652174$200.00
11-02 13:56Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in November?BUY0.8943497724$200.00
11-02 13:49Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?BUY0.8499999999$1000.00
11-02 13:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?BUY0.8599999999$300.00
11-02 13:13Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November?BUY0.8205959689$500.00
11-02 12:36Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?BUY0.8399999989$500.00
11-01 22:58Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?BUY0.8799999999$500.00
11-01 19:311win FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9099999991$400.00
11-01 19:151win FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8732821314$300.00
11-01 12:191win FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.9093341915$200.00
10-31 19:411win FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.739659367$200.00
10-31 19:381win FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.8974304001$300.00