PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. up 0.003 over the period, from 0.001. Range 0.001 to 0.004. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.004122122
0.00538161
0.0068168
0.009109277
0.01082359
0.0115364
0.012156520
0.01951571
0.03049620
0.06475695
0.0658703
0.07060763

Spread0.001Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0033030
0.0022050
0.001547597

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9973030
0.9982050
0.999547597

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.996122122
0.99538161
0.9948168
0.991109277
0.99082359
0.9895364
0.988156520
0.98151571
0.97049620
0.93675695
0.9358703
0.93060763

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Nostradamus69Yes995.95
GoreaYes790.51
balthazarYes340
peepeepooppoopYes235.85
donthackmeYes224.36
0xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-1769526558724Yes171.68
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
HaradwaithYes128
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes108.87
PandarinosYes100
0x11b2…6d33Yes100
DrangtianYes99.99
TENETENETYes99.99
e46m3Yes82.52
2kparabellumYes76.72
0x3e3cFf5E598b86A176416C9eC914E871B1E7e1D6-1786140877974Yes50
mustbethewaterYes50
triklozoidYes50
0xf94d…cfe1Yes50
a5tthsyuo3cYes40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:35:03SELLYes0.0019$0.01
17:34:57BUYYes0.0010141122996$1.01
16:34:23BUYNo0.99930$29.97
16:34:21BUYNo0.99940$39.75
16:33:57BUYNo0.99930$29.97
16:33:57BUYNo0.99925$24.72
11:19:36SELLNo0.99836$35.96
11:17:06BUYNo0.99936$36.00
22:07:31BUYNo0.9991$1.03
22:06:46BUYNo0.9991$1.03
22:06:30BUYNo0.9991$1.04
22:06:28BUYNo0.99919$18.48
22:06:27BUYNo0.99930$29.97
17:32:30SELLYes0.0015$0.01
14:13:11BUYNo0.9998$8.45
14:11:50BUYNo0.9998$7.74
13:54:45BUYNo0.9996$5.83
08:57:27SELLYes0.00110$0.01
23:04:03SELLYes0.0011$0.00
23:03:40SELLYes0.0010$0.00
17:35:07SELLYes0.00172$0.07
06:03:21SELLYes0.00210$0.02
11:59:54BUYNo0.99910$9.70
11:39:46BUYNo0.9996$6.39
11:39:16BUYNo0.99910$9.85