PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

a5tthsyuo3c

0x841c4aa6a69055a484b40cfe065da9785e72b20d

Realised P&L
$3.3k
Volume
$306.3k
Markets traded
5,798
Open portfolio
$314.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded5,798
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0241.000$60.00+$58.54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.2000.625$37.51+$25.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.574$34.42+$32.54
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.0431.000$20.00+$19.13
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0400.990$19.79+$18.99
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.1670.965$19.15+$15.84
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0280.865$17.30+$16.74
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2000.275$16.50+$4.50
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? · Yes0.0560.450$10.27+$9.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.425$8.42+$7.80
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.420$8.41+$7.79
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? · Yes0.0560.247$6.34+$4.91
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.2000.075$4.50−$7.50
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.0250.195$3.90+$3.40
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? · Yes0.0560.175$3.50+$2.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-23 11:26Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?SELL0.445$6.67
06-23 11:26Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR?SELL0.431$6.46
06-12 15:15Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.08$0.21
06-05 09:39Will Harry Dunn be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?SELL0.13$2.60
06-03 01:22Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?SELL0.85$0.44
06-02 06:59Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour?SELL0.072$0.16
06-01 13:49Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.08$0.04
06-01 04:12Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.025$1.00
05-23 04:20Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?SELL0.15$0.75
05-22 19:18Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by less than 5%?SELL0.27$2.16
05-19 23:03Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.102$0.14
05-19 21:46Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.08$1.60
05-19 17:02Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.05$0.77
05-19 14:58Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.46$0.35
05-19 06:15Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?SELL0.15$0.75