PolyBot

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Traders

Drangtian

0x3f917c73ee51421922a4ddb870c965f11f352819

Realised P&L
$-373.04
Volume
$82.2k
Markets traded
255
Open portfolio
$140.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded255
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes0.0020.033$16.50+$15.50
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? · Yes0.0020.042$13.00+$12.37
Will Kenny Kunene be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.0020.043$11.15+$10.63
Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes0.0020.011$5.50+$4.50
Will Flávio Lúcio win the Governor of Paraíba election? · Yes0.0020.011$5.43+$4.49
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0210.025$5.00+$0.80
Will Nilvan Ferreira win the Governor of Paraíba election? · Yes0.0020.012$4.40+$3.67
Will Felipe Camarão win the Governor of Maranhão election? · Yes0.0020.008$4.00+$3.00
Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.0020.006$3.25+$2.25
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes0.0020.005$2.75+$1.75
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0100.005$2.75$2.25
Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.005$2.50+$1.50
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0020.005$2.50+$1.50
Will Erika Hilton win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0020.004$2.25+$1.25
Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? · Yes0.0020.004$2.00+$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 21:48Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?BUY0.1899999968$46.00
07-03 21:46Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5BUY0.1899999986$100.00
07-02 23:46Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?BUY0.2299999976$63.00
06-29 18:26Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1199999982$55.00
06-29 18:12Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5SELL0.049$10.25
06-29 16:38Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1899999986$100.00
06-29 16:38Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5BUY0.1099999958$23.00
06-29 16:37Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Japan?BUY0.0279999986$19.00
06-29 16:37Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?BUY0.01$10.00
06-29 16:36Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?BUY0.016$10.76
06-26 08:36Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.002999997$1.00
06-26 08:35Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.002999997$1.00
06-26 08:35Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.002999997$1.00
06-26 08:34Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.002$1.00
06-26 08:34Will ACT New Zealand win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.002$1.00