PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Admirka

0xf94d126475912e9a21693b0356ff1016daf2cfe1

Realised P&L
$-914.32
Volume
$417.5k
Markets traded
15,736
Open portfolio
$219.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15,736
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nvidia be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0010.076$3.83+$3.77
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $245B by October 31? · Yes0.0010.074$3.73+$3.67
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $270B by October 31? · Yes0.0010.071$3.55+$3.50
Will María Fernanda Rivera win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? · Yes0.0010.053$2.65+$2.60
Will Nvidia be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0010.051$2.52+$2.48
Will Anthropic’s valuation be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0010.046$2.30+$2.25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 12% or more? · Yes0.0010.045$2.27+$2.23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 12% or more? · Yes0.0010.045$2.27+$2.23
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes0.0010.045$2.25+$2.20
Will Christine Lagarde win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.044$2.23+$2.17
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $675B by October 31? · Yes0.0010.040$1.98+$1.93
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.0010.038$1.90+$1.85
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 22, 2026? · Yes0.0010.039$1.90+$1.85
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $82.5B by October 31? · Yes0.0010.037$1.85+$1.80
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.037$1.85+$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-15 03:40Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
05-15 03:29Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
05-15 01:19Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
05-15 01:10Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-14 23:24Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-14 23:24Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-14 19:54XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.05$0.25
05-14 19:10Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-14 04:34Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
05-13 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.04$1.00
05-13 22:10XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-13 21:34Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
05-13 21:29Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-13 20:05Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-13 18:00XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.035$0.70