Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-08-17
- Resolves by
- https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.11 | 41 | 41 |
| 0.12 | 20 | 61 |
| 0.13 | 10 | 71 |
| 0.16 | 31 | 102 |
| 0.17 | 11 | 113 |
| 0.18 | 30 | 143 |
| 0.19 | 35 | 178 |
| 0.20 | 122 | 299 |
| 0.23 | 74 | 373 |
| 0.24 | 50 | 423 |
| 0.27 | 250 | 673 |
| 0.28 | 206 | 879 |
Spread0.01Mid0.11
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.10 | 32 | 32 |
| 0.09 | 40 | 72 |
| 0.07 | 273 | 345 |
| 0.06 | 111 | 456 |
| 0.05 | 142 | 599 |
| 0.03 | 161 | 760 |
| 0.02 | 363 | 1,123 |
| 0.01 | 410 | 1,533 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.90 | 32 | 32 |
| 0.91 | 40 | 72 |
| 0.93 | 273 | 345 |
| 0.94 | 111 | 456 |
| 0.95 | 142 | 599 |
| 0.97 | 161 | 760 |
| 0.98 | 363 | 1,123 |
| 0.99 | 410 | 1,533 |
Spread0.01Mid0.90
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | 41 | 41 |
| 0.88 | 20 | 61 |
| 0.87 | 10 | 71 |
| 0.84 | 31 | 102 |
| 0.83 | 11 | 113 |
| 0.82 | 30 | 143 |
| 0.81 | 35 | 178 |
| 0.80 | 122 | 299 |
| 0.77 | 74 | 373 |
| 0.76 | 50 | 423 |
| 0.73 | 250 | 673 |
| 0.72 | 206 | 879 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| balthazar | Yes | 700 |
| iutwpfal | Yes | 348.91 |
| NoTeacher | Yes | 299.57 |
| 0x9687…1b7c | Yes | 90 |
| ScottsRoad | Yes | 80 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 60 |
| balabalababalabala | Yes | 37 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| PPMT | Yes | 20 |
| alphalab1 | Yes | 20 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 15 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 10.93 |
| billygod | Yes | 10.12 |
| AJSV | Yes | 8.36 |
| aHjCz | Yes | 2.95 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No | 1,084.49 |
| meowtai | No | 393.29 |
| BetterFish | No | 200 |
| snrts | No | 21.05 |
| ladbiscuit | No | 11.12 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:56:23 | SELL | Yes | 0.1 | 20 | $2.00 |
| 13:56:18 | BUY | No | 0.9 | 6 | $5.00 |
| 13:56:18 | BUY | No | 0.9 | 6 | $5.00 |
| 13:56:17 | SELL | Yes | 0.1 | 20 | $2.00 |
| 13:56:14 | BUY | No | 0.89 | 140 | $124.60 |
| 10:48:17 | BUY | Yes | 0.0913513514 | 37 | $3.38 |
| 19:39:18 | BUY | No | 0.9499999762 | 21 | $20.00 |
| 17:55:44 | BUY | Yes | 0.1 | 5 | $0.50 |
| 17:54:41 | BUY | Yes | 0.1 | 5 | $0.50 |
| 14:47:18 | BUY | No | 0.94 | 9 | $8.46 |
| 14:47:18 | BUY | No | 0.94 | 16 | $14.75 |
| 14:12:33 | SELL | Yes | 0.06 | 5 | $0.30 |
| 14:08:32 | SELL | Yes | 0.06 | 6 | $0.36 |
| 14:06:41 | SELL | Yes | 0.06 | 5 | $0.30 |
| 14:06:29 | SELL | No | 0.93 | 39 | $35.91 |
| 13:46:18 | BUY | No | 0.96 | 5 | $4.80 |
| 13:46:18 | BUY | No | 0.96 | 10 | $9.60 |
| 10:16:09 | SELL | Yes | 0.04 | 16 | $0.65 |
| 10:16:06 | SELL | Yes | 0.05 | 16 | $0.82 |
| 09:13:08 | SELL | Yes | 0.05 | 20 | $1.00 |
| 08:10:35 | SELL | Yes | 0.05 | 20 | $1.00 |
| 07:22:26 | BUY | Yes | 0.09 | 5 | $0.45 |
| 07:22:21 | BUY | Yes | 0.09 | 5 | $0.45 |
| 07:22:17 | BUY | Yes | 0.09 | 5 | $0.45 |
| 07:22:14 | BUY | Yes | 0.09 | 5 | $0.45 |