PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

snrts

0xfbe597f324207d1c288928ec69a17be78a7233a4

Realised P&L
$-213.86
Volume
$12.6k
Markets traded
245
Open portfolio
$80.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded245
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.9200.989$19.78+$1.38
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.9600.972$19.43+$0.23
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8400.935$11.13+$1.13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7100.685$4.82−$0.18
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · No0.5230.475$4.54−$0.46
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1600.115$3.59−$1.41
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · No0.6500.550$2.75−$0.50
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0660.029$2.20−$2.80
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.3600.635$1.76+$0.76
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.2200.160$1.45−$0.55
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1700.228$1.34+$0.34
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0270.029$1.09+$0.09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1670.090$1.08−$0.92
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1550.079$1.01−$0.99
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026? · No0.9500.945$0.99−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 10:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?SELL0.9818327645$43.15
09-24 21:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-21 12:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?BUY0.9099999991$40.00
09-21 12:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.3920962032$10.00
08-05 17:55Dogecoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.4099998237$1.00
08-03 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.04$1.00
08-03 19:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.29999982$1.00
08-03 19:41Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?BUY0.949999525$1.00
08-03 19:40Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-03 19:40Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-03 19:40Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0658604702$5.00
08-03 19:39Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?BUY0.9499999762$20.00
08-03 19:39Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
08-03 19:38Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?BUY0.875$40.00
07-26 20:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?BUY0.5899999705$5.00