Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.07 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.75 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.004. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.003 to 0.004. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.004	31,999	31,999
0.005	1,298	33,297
0.006	20,045	53,342
0.007	15,676	69,018
0.008	15,462	84,480
0.009	5,062	89,542
0.010	24	89,566
0.012	1,000	90,566
0.013	1,100	91,666
0.014	5,500	97,166
0.016	6	97,172
0.023	10	97,182

Spread0.001Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.003	971	971
0.002	14,681	15,652
0.001	213,670	229,322

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.997	971	971
0.998	14,681	15,652
0.999	213,670	229,322

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.996	31,999	31,999
0.995	1,298	33,297
0.994	20,045	53,342
0.993	15,676	69,018
0.992	15,462	84,480
0.991	5,062	89,542
0.990	24	89,566
0.988	1,000	90,566
0.987	1,100	91,666
0.986	5,500	97,166
0.984	6	97,172
0.977	10	97,182

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xfa39…977f	Yes	58,108.13
kokorzowsky	Yes	15,353.64
BabyGroot	Yes	10,468.17
ManhattaN89	Yes	3,772.73
0x9c356b29E78c0f2C97F9A3928C26a613De57020d-1772475794355	Yes	2,698.44
JesusKingofKings	Yes	2,265
nryy	Yes	2,120.14
0x7Ad005A8BeB095dE1c9937678DaFA918911B19E3-1775737664981	Yes	2,100
lasix928	Yes	1,999.74
Linuxman	Yes	1,250
0x9cdc…a1ce	Yes	1,205.92
TheCandyManCan	Yes	1,091.45
balthazar	Yes	968.36
Walzno2	Yes	800
0xBD5193bA2D59515605418177B93e7D65A92a7Feb-1771978920990	Yes	500
pslaw	Yes	476.19
0xA269b9963D939A91bAF778FF64954AA4FE94dDc9-1762911361982	Yes	400
omnibus-6c8b15	Yes	384.62
2B9S	Yes	250
0xff54…0b00	Yes	238.09

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:27:01	BUY	No	0.997	24	$23.93
16:23:31	BUY	No	0.997	55	$54.84
16:20:13	BUY	No	0.997	55	$54.84
15:41:07	BUY	No	0.997	26	$25.92
15:34:57	BUY	No	0.997	33	$32.90
07:34:25	BUY	No	0.997	15	$14.96
07:25:10	BUY	No	0.997	33	$32.90
17:21:31	BUY	No	0.997	22	$21.93
17:06:13	BUY	No	0.997	55	$54.84
09:39:30	BUY	No	0.998	23	$22.95
08:47:21	BUY	No	0.9971958053	31	$31.00
08:30:07	BUY	No	0.9975204205	52	$52.00
07:45:10	BUY	No	0.9971958053	31	$31.00
17:56:25	SELL	No	0.996	123	$122.51
17:55:29	SELL	No	0.996	119	$118.52
17:53:58	SELL	No	0.996	101	$100.60
17:53:32	SELL	No	0.996	124	$123.50
12:50:34	BUY	No	0.998	100	$99.80
12:20:01	BUY	No	0.998	36	$35.93
11:17:50	BUY	No	0.998	601	$600.00
11:09:32	BUY	No	0.998	305	$304.00
03:41:39	SELL	No	0.9962114433	236	$235.57
03:38:28	SELL	No	0.9964372939	388	$386.78
15:50:38	BUY	Yes	0.004	1,250	$5.00
14:42:36	SELL	Yes	0.0022749726	758	$1.73