TheCandyManCan
0xe95f87e741418766186e40e3e091a2e8f4e393d6
- Realised P&L
- $85.85
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $113.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.60at 0.013Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
- +$29.90at 0.020Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
- +$24.00at 0.036Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
- +$11.76at 0.083Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$9.07at 0.110Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 04:06 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.06 |
| 10-30 03:54 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 03:53 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 03:53 | Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 03:52 | Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0107821995 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 03:51 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0211538458 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 03:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 03:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 20:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 20:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0114068441 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 22:13 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 22:12 | Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 22:11 | Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0666666667 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 22:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0219999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $1.00 |