PolyBot

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Traders

0x6c8b154ddf173760ac3916af5504d1f1f2ae645c

0x6c8b154ddf173760ac3916af5504d1f1f2ae645c

Realised P&L
$24.5k
Volume
$1.40M
Markets traded
3,071
Open portfolio
$947.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,071
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No0.9900.993$701.84+$1.84
Solana Up or Down - July 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.8561.000$58.42+$8.42
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0230.025$55.25+$5.25
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.122$34.03+$9.03
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? · Yes0.0580.065$16.83+$1.83
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? · No0.9570.935$14.67$0.34
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees0.5510.545$10.87$0.13
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.140$5.83+$0.83
Will Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season? · Yes0.0840.045$5.40$4.60
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8700.895$5.14+$0.14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7470.755$5.11+$0.05
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.9760.969$4.97$0.04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1800.155$4.31$0.69
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12? · Yes0.6210.495$3.72$0.94
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs United Arab Emirates · Scotland0.6900.500$3.62$1.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 00:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETBUY0.01$10.00
09-21 23:30Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesBUY0.5513833657$11.00
09-21 22:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.649999974$5.00
09-21 20:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSELL0.24$3.75
09-21 20:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.32$5.00
09-21 20:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSELL0.88$7.33
09-21 20:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.599999976$5.00
09-21 20:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSELL0.44$3.67
09-21 20:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.599999976$5.00
09-21 19:53Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.355636833$4.13
09-21 19:24Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.73$4.93
09-21 19:23Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7399999734$5.00
09-21 19:22Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.959$4.99
09-21 19:22Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.9599998771$5.00
09-21 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSELL0.97$5.10