0x6c8b154ddf173760ac3916af5504d1f1f2ae645c
0x6c8b154ddf173760ac3916af5504d1f1f2ae645c
- Realised P&L
- $24.5k
- Volume
- $1.40M
- Markets traded
- 3,071
- Open portfolio
- $947.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,071
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.7kat 0.311Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$6.4kat 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
- +$6.2kat 0.384Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
- +$5.2kat 0.496Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
- +$5.2kat 0.501Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 23:30 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5513833657 | $11.00 |
| 09-21 22:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $3.75 |
| 09-21 20:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $7.33 |
| 09-21 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 20:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $3.67 |
| 09-21 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 19:53 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.355636833 | $4.13 |
| 09-21 19:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $4.93 |
| 09-21 19:23 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 19:22 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.959 | $4.99 |
| 09-21 19:22 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.9599998771 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $5.10 |