Walzno2
0xa2843a843d34b11f285bc8b4450c8f29f801c658
- Realised P&L
- $-34.61
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $5.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.004 | $3.60 | −$16.40 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.055 | $2.29 | −$17.71 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31? · No | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.50at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0749999325 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 22:42 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0419999612 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 22:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 04-03 12:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 04-03 12:17 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0309999985 | $20.00 |
| 04-03 12:17 | Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 03-21 15:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |
| 03-21 14:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $20.00 |
| 03-21 14:51 | Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31? | BUY | 0.0581578687 | $10.00 |