0xA269b9963D939A91bAF778FF64954AA4FE94dDc9-1762911361982
0xa269b9963d939a91baf778ff64954aa4fe94ddc9
- Realised P&L
- $-195.99
- Volume
- $159.6k
- Markets traded
- 323
- Open portfolio
- $10.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded323
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.33at 0.050Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$117.34at 0.052Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$12.07at 0.086Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
- +$10.11at 0.090Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.65at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 17:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $3.46 |
| 09-29 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:28 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:28 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.014 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 17:27 | Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.392 | $7.49 |
| 09-23 18:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 09-23 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |