PolyBot

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Traders

ManhattaN89

0x57d86b5b1c4d745eed3c5ac4f12b65e3523169b0

Realised P&L
$-83.65
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$45.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0220.004$16.98−$66.02
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2990.140$9.37−$10.63
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1920.055$6.89−$17.11
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.013$4.17−$15.83
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0180.003$1.56−$9.44
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.042$1.22−$3.78
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.032$1.21−$3.79
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.1500.115$0.77−$0.23
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? · Yes0.1400.069$0.49−$0.51
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.080$0.44−$0.56
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6400.245$0.38−$0.62
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0970.034$0.35−$0.65
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1160.011$0.28−$2.72
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.035$0.27−$0.73
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1070.024$0.22−$0.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 19:54Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.954$13.55
08-29 19:54Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.64$2.78
05-18 09:47Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9149999412$13.00
05-16 15:51Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Hunter/Pegula vs Andreeva/ShnaiderBUY0.97$11.00
05-15 08:20Starmer out by May 19, 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00
05-14 17:27Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.92$13.00
05-14 17:23Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin HalysSELL0.89$12.18
05-14 15:49Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin HalysBUY0.7299999876$10.00
05-14 15:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?SELL0.07$10.00
05-14 15:48Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?SELL0.3$1.07
04-29 12:58Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999972$20.00
04-26 17:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.0060000001$1.00
04-26 17:14MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
04-26 17:12MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?BUY0.0279999866$2.00
04-26 17:12MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?BUY0.0129999937$2.00