lasix928
0x83d4d28475bbcf7422cc468dfca22777feecbce8
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $796.0k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $9.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.004 | $9.00 | −$17.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.9kat 0.227Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.1kat 0.416Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.7kat 0.591Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.6kat 0.060Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.0kat 0.388Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:36 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.98 |
| 07-10 16:24 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.164 | $488.35 |
| 07-07 01:06 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.019 | $38.00 |
| 07-05 16:22 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.033 | $132.00 |
| 07-01 16:18 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $62.10 |
| 06-29 14:06 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.057 | $285.00 |
| 06-26 01:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $8.96 |
| 06-26 01:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $19.50 |
| 06-24 01:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.015 | $30.00 |
| 06-10 03:04 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.3k |
| 06-10 03:03 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9 | $416.06 |
| 06-10 02:48 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.1003225806 | $31.10 |
| 06-10 02:37 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.13 | $4.55 |
| 06-10 02:36 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 06-10 02:36 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.51 |