0x9cdc8a27bb3c38a268adb51a601c5521b112a1ce
- Realised P&L
- $-185.94
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $44.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.989 | $26.75 | +$1.31 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.004 | $6.54 | −$27.09 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.009 | $5.86 | −$24.46 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.004 | $5.43 | −$23.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.02at 0.424Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
- +$66.74at 0.337Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 137.5
- +$47.71at 0.516Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)
- +$20.35at 0.373Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 139.5
- +$19.90at 0.240Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 07:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $4.94 |
| 04-18 11:30 | Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5) | SELL | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 04-18 05:40 | Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $24.18 |
| 04-18 05:40 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $24.15 |
| 04-17 17:05 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $24.00 |
| 04-17 17:05 | Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $24.32 |
| 04-07 17:28 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.2 | $23.80 |
| 04-07 17:28 | Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5) | BUY | 0.2 | $23.80 |
| 04-02 06:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.31 | $22.55 |
| 04-02 06:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $24.96 |
| 03-21 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.988 | $2.39 |
| 03-21 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.94 |
| 03-21 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on March 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.40 |
| 03-21 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.81 |
| 03-21 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.40 |