PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-12-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.04. down 0.44 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.04 to 0.48. 45 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.061919
0.071736
0.082056
0.09145201
0.1020221
0.1227248
0.1520268
0.1620288
0.1720308
0.2120328
0.2220348
0.3420368

Spread0.04Mid0.04

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0255
0.01562567

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9855
0.99562567

Spread0.04Mid0.96

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.941919
0.931736
0.922056
0.91145201
0.9020221
0.8827248
0.8520268
0.8420288
0.8320308
0.7920328
0.7820348
0.6620368

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes59.28
GuyFromTinderYes37
HaradwaithYes20.1
pupka-zalupkaYes20
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
0x86CA8077b2d19c4B46EF16F05992817A41fc16Be-1782535406963Yes20
2B9SYes19.02
0x7A1ca689eb453Ba783443687c543F827740C73f1-1772744787082Yes18.65
richyeeYes17.42
velorotYes16.33
HosoTraderYes10.21
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FYes3
RogerFedNo210
cigarettesNo30
timeistmoneyNo20
G24L8No1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:28:48BUYNo0.9730$29.10
17:05:01SELLNo0.913$2.73
16:36:24SELLNo0.9118$16.63
16:28:49SELLNo0.910$0.18
16:24:54BUYNo0.950103088720$19.20
16:21:34BUYNo0.9420$18.80
16:21:16SELLYes0.0620$1.20
16:19:22SELLNo0.9111$10.10
16:16:30SELLNo0.8716$13.92
16:16:27BUYNo0.8825160$141.20
16:16:27BUYNo0.979509993920$19.59
16:16:27BUYNo0.9720$19.40
15:58:24SELLNo0.8310$8.22
15:58:24BUYNo0.825012468840$33.08
15:58:04BUYNo0.809999996419$15.62
15:57:51BUYNo0.8320$16.60
15:57:51BUYNo0.8220$16.40
15:57:51BUYNo0.8220$16.40
15:57:51BUYNo0.7940$31.60
14:59:57BUYYes0.2720$5.40
14:59:57BUYYes0.2520$5.00
13:41:49BUYYes0.1720$3.40