supman111
0x8a5189f973df5e33ada6aefea1dca23ce5a451a2
- Realised P&L
- $156.16
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $515.08
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.13at 0.055Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?
- +$15.91at 0.789S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 22?
- +$14.37at 0.204Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$13.83at 0.218NJ/NY Gotham FC vs. Chicago Stars FC: NJ/NY Gotham FC O/U 4.5
- +$10.73at 0.237Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:29 | Will Jaxson Dart have 1.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.8 | $11.20 |
| 09-22 11:29 | Will Jaxson Dart have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.08 |
| 09-22 11:28 | Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.6492196785 | $10.40 |
| 09-22 11:28 | Will Ashton Jeanty have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.20 |
| 09-22 11:24 | Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Hemel Hempstead Town FC: O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.5 | $0.20 |
| 09-22 11:21 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-22 11:20 | Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.65 | $26.00 |
| 09-22 11:20 | Will Ashton Jeanty have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.31 | $12.40 |
| 09-22 11:18 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-22 11:18 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-22 11:15 | San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-22 11:15 | San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 09-22 10:50 | GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.51 |
| 09-22 10:50 | GitHub Git Operations critical incident by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $9.84 |
| 09-22 10:36 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |