PolyBot

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Traders

supman111

0x8a5189f973df5e33ada6aefea1dca23ce5a451a2

Realised P&L
$156.16
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$515.08

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6320.625$95.38$1.10
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? · Yes0.6450.602$72.72$5.32
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% before 2027? · No0.3110.330$39.87+$2.26
Will Kenneth Walker III have 724.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8700.865$35.47$0.20
Will Ashton Jeanty have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.3350.210$34.24$20.37
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 · Under0.1100.845$25.35+$22.05
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No0.5200.825$16.50+$6.10
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No0.5200.820$16.40+$6.00
Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Hemel Hempstead Town FC: O/U 5.5 · Under0.1180.750$14.67+$12.36
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 · Over0.8400.460$13.80$11.40
Spread: NJ/NY Gotham FC (-2.5) · NJ/NY Gotham FC0.4600.445$13.35$0.45
Chelsea FC vs. FK Austria Wien: Chelsea FC O/U 4.5 · Over0.4350.430$12.90$0.16
Titans vs. Giants: O/U 44.5 · Under0.6300.640$11.80+$0.18
Spread: Farnborough FC (-1.5) · Farnborough FC0.5100.455$10.25$1.24
Will DJ Moore have 824.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5100.510$10.20+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 11:29Will Jaxson Dart have 1.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.8$11.20
09-22 11:29Will Jaxson Dart have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.22$3.08
09-22 11:28Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.6492196785$10.40
09-22 11:28Will Ashton Jeanty have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.32$5.20
09-22 11:24Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Hemel Hempstead Town FC: O/U 5.5SELL0.5$0.20
09-22 11:21Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026?SELL0.52$10.40
09-22 11:20Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.65$26.00
09-22 11:20Will Ashton Jeanty have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.31$12.40
09-22 11:18Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?SELL0.68$13.60
09-22 11:18Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?SELL0.44$8.80
09-22 11:15San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5BUY0.67$6.70
09-22 11:15San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 4.5BUY0.16$1.60
09-22 10:50GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?SELL0.05$0.51
09-22 10:50GitHub Git Operations critical incident by September 30, 2026?SELL0.96$9.84
09-22 10:36Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?BUY0.23$4.60