PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-11-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.254 over the period, from 0.272. Range 0.018 to 0.272. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0331313
0.0342033
0.0362053
0.040380433
0.04120453
0.04920473
0.05020493
0.34820513
0.34931543
0.3505548
0.50220568
0.53831599

Spread0.029Mid0.019

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0041010
0.003616
0.002153170
0.001687857

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9961010
0.997616
0.998153170
0.999687857

Spread0.029Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9671313
0.9662033
0.9642053
0.960380433
0.95920453
0.95120473
0.95020493
0.65220513
0.65131543
0.6505548
0.49820568
0.46231599

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes650
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes379.69
pootytherewardfarmerYes48.13
PPMTYes30.01
Pol7StrategyBuilderYes20
baerwiththegewehrYes20
0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50ABYes20
tradeo39Yes20
house2001Yes12.9
a5533Yes10.66
bjproloYes9.99
needleladderYes5.89
velorotYes5
0xE09F5a24C68Be825a610c2d0e1ef720b69f0d33d-1776373959765Yes2.03
vozomnilNo504.2
Mataty1No257.35
timeistmoneyNo167.34
balthazarNo140
cigarettesNo120
johnashboughNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:57:54BUYNo0.998$7.89
04:09:30BUYNo0.992$2.00
20:43:04BUYNo0.97240$38.87
20:42:57BUYNo0.97240$38.87
20:42:49BUYNo0.97240$38.87
20:39:39BUYNo0.98840$39.51
20:26:49BUYNo0.98840$39.51
20:26:40BUYNo0.98840$39.51
20:26:34BUYNo0.98840$39.51
02:40:10SELLYes0.01226220$0.25
19:46:19SELLYes0.03340$1.32
19:46:15BUYNo0.9675$4.83
19:46:12SELLYes0.04820$0.97
19:46:10BUYNo0.951211956546$43.76
19:46:10BUYNo0.9506878762224$213.21
19:46:10BUYNo0.9514$3.57
19:46:10BUYNo0.95299999818$17.28
19:46:10BUYNo0.9581650$47.91
19:46:10BUYNo0.95330$28.59
18:25:22SELLNo0.94420$18.88
18:23:52BUYNo0.98411$10.49
18:23:52BUYNo0.83520$16.70
09:44:20BUYNo0.97257$249.63
09:44:03BUYNo0.95137$130.47
09:44:03BUYNo0.95120$114.00