0xE09F5a24C68Be825a610c2d0e1ef720b69f0d33d-1776373959765
0xe09f5a24c68be825a610c2d0e1ef720b69f0d33d
- Realised P&L
- $-21.61
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $27.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.09at 0.142Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.90at 0.314Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$10.11at 0.090Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$7.09at 0.220Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$5.51at 0.640Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.49 |
| 08-04 09:05 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.3299998436 | $1.35 |
| 08-04 09:05 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.30 |
| 08-04 09:04 | Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.7099998817 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 09:03 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.7099999591 | $12.50 |
| 08-01 12:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $12.44 |
| 08-01 12:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.20 |
| 08-01 12:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0344827586 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0727272727 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.6474102915 | $2.00 |