Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.40. up 0.14 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.26 to 0.46. 13 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.40	216	216
0.41	506	722
0.45	127	849
0.47	27	876
0.48	100	976
0.50	18	994
0.51	34	1,028
0.52	51	1,079
0.57	12	1,091
0.90	29	1,120
0.91	40	1,160
0.93	53	1,213

Spread0.01Mid0.40

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	512	512
0.38	799	1,312
0.37	3,702	5,014
0.36	654	5,668
0.35	246	5,914
0.34	300	6,214
0.31	21	6,235
0.26	27	6,262
0.24	22	6,284
0.06	9	6,293
0.05	300	6,593
0.04	500	7,093

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	512	512
0.62	799	1,312
0.63	3,702	5,014
0.64	654	5,668
0.65	246	5,914
0.66	300	6,214
0.69	21	6,235
0.74	27	6,262
0.76	22	6,284
0.94	9	6,293
0.95	300	6,593
0.96	500	7,093

Spread0.01Mid0.60

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.60	216	216
0.59	506	722
0.55	127	849
0.53	27	876
0.52	100	976
0.50	18	994
0.49	34	1,028
0.48	51	1,079
0.43	12	1,091
0.10	29	1,120
0.09	40	1,160
0.07	53	1,213

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x6992D56559Dd30b5B5D0F5cA3D5427F9e94e6c1d-1760272837095	Yes	299.8
romeinzc	Yes	291.28
0xd998…0eb2	Yes	152
Jesetrading	Yes	71.6
Faston	Yes	61.89
jzy0546	Yes	15
gfdgfvfvssdd	Yes	5
willsom	No	246
chessplayer	No	200
sasha585	No	126.06
tradetosurvive1	No	100
aliiz	No	90.99
AJSV	No	39.98
0x4629…f3b1	No	30
pootytherewardfarmer	No	22.4
Sp0rtBaby	No	20.89
GuyFromTinder	No	11.92
jumpy-roamer	No	5.94
palochka	No	3.08

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:24:03	SELL	No	0.58	20	$11.60
22:24:02	BUY	Yes	0.42	8	$3.36
22:23:51	BUY	Yes	0.4103088657	13	$5.25
22:23:50	BUY	Yes	0.4038	20	$8.08
22:23:50	BUY	Yes	0.39	300	$116.92
22:23:50	BUY	Yes	0.4	20	$8.00
22:23:50	BUY	Yes	0.4	20	$8.00
22:23:50	BUY	Yes	0.4	20	$8.00
22:00:09	BUY	Yes	0.37	100	$37.00
21:19:05	SELL	No	0.63	15	$9.45
20:30:03	BUY	No	0.65	5	$3.25
20:27:56	BUY	No	0.66	5	$3.30
20:26:18	BUY	No	0.65	20	$13.00
20:25:48	BUY	No	0.6245869073	96	$60.00
20:23:14	SELL	Yes	0.41	20	$8.20
20:23:06	SELL	Yes	0.41	20	$8.20
20:20:56	BUY	No	0.59	20	$11.80
20:20:27	BUY	No	0.5644308943	246	$138.85
19:36:51	SELL	Yes	0.41	20	$8.20
19:36:30	SELL	Yes	0.44	20	$8.80
19:35:59	BUY	Yes	0.3882320092	331	$128.61
19:34:09	BUY	No	0.6499999025	3	$2.00
17:42:18	BUY	No	0.65	20	$13.00
17:39:39	BUY	No	0.63	60	$37.79
17:08:56	BUY	Yes	0.35	15	$5.25