PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

willsom

0xaa99a6c279d34492683db6ff1818aa1f8485dbbf

Realised P&L
$42.8k
Volume
$1.94M
Markets traded
673
Open portfolio
$18.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded673
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.8930.975$5.0k+$418.41
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.8850.963$1.9k+$151.68
Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.8550.964$1.7k+$188.76
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.5900.770$1.5k+$360.00
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026? · No0.6530.740$1.1k+$134.63
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.8690.970$1.1k+$114.65
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? · Yes0.8350.948$942.81+$111.91
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3080.290$731.68$46.14
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.1280.395$564.41+$381.02
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? · No0.5670.870$522.00+$182.00
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026? · No0.6760.910$521.75+$134.14
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · No0.4000.768$484.56+$232.35
US bank failure by December 31, 2026? · No0.1560.275$470.67+$204.34
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.8300.973$454.39+$66.78
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? · No0.4420.845$344.11+$164.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:22Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.4394581904$170.33
08-02 20:04Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6530047237$1.0k
08-02 16:59Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?BUY0.24$144.00
08-02 16:02Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.1283424196$183.39
08-02 04:38US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.26$315.34
08-02 04:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.2781861205$337.40
07-28 22:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.37$947.16
07-28 22:45US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.38$570.00
07-28 22:43US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.36$381.56
07-28 22:29US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.7910872905$90.63
07-28 22:14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.7355438198$84.26
07-28 18:17Zelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?SELL0.0850050906$25.05
07-28 16:53Zelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?BUY0.3662656734$119.47
07-28 15:27Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?SELL0.91$136.50
07-27 21:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.518$521.51