willsom
0xaa99a6c279d34492683db6ff1818aa1f8485dbbf
- Realised P&L
- $47.3k
- Volume
- $2.11M
- Markets traded
- 776
- Open portfolio
- $44.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded776
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.989MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.6kat 0.140US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.264Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.628Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.627Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:18 | Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027? | BUY | 0.618 | $141.52 |
| 10-30 22:29 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | SELL | 0.3860701214 | $386.06 |
| 10-30 18:26 | Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7277873699 | $818.59 |
| 10-30 00:36 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.2598817762 | $317.27 |
| 10-29 23:03 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.0897581348 | $196.57 |
| 10-29 20:45 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.7875 | $116.55 |
| 10-29 20:43 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.7495689655 | $86.95 |
| 10-29 19:25 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4328835524 | $186.39 |
| 10-29 19:24 | Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? | BUY | 0.7585353806 | $339.38 |
| 10-29 19:21 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.8394221509 | $522.96 |
| 10-29 19:19 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $302.61 |
| 10-29 19:16 | Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8885 | $355.40 |
| 10-29 19:14 | Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4862591917 | $122.60 |
| 10-29 19:12 | Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1812301195 | $48.70 |
| 10-28 16:06 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.8k |