jumpy-roamer
0x12ff97fc9bfbd57a8ddc0c820d0d35e099390d78
- Realised P&L
- $-275.61
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 740
- Open portfolio
- $46.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded740
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.33at 0.358Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
- +$24.44at 0.488Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
- +$23.00at 0.461Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$21.82at 0.485Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
- +$21.43at 0.278Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 01:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.95 |
| 10-09 00:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9499998753 | $4.95 |
| 10-08 23:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999599 | $3.35 |
| 10-08 23:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999826 | $4.30 |
| 10-08 22:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999513 | $4.60 |
| 10-08 21:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9099999962 | $4.80 |
| 10-08 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $4.70 |
| 10-08 19:04 | Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 10-08 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.93 |
| 10-08 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.13 |
| 10-08 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.93 |
| 10-08 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-08 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.997 | $7.32 |
| 10-08 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9429999985 | $6.93 |
| 10-08 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.9927132668 | $6.96 |